BMIE Market 06447

Hartford County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,130 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,404 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,389 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$142,105 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,333 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$379,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06447
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06447. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.0	76	40%	+30.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.1	54	35%	+18.9
Market Momentum Score	9.9	10	25%	+2.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,130	64	40%	+25.5
Median household income (ACS)	142,105	95	40%	+38.1
Households (ACS)	2,184	62	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.8	73	25%	+18.3
Population (ACS)	6,130	64	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	142,105	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	-25	12	20%	+2.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · American 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Fellas Pizza & Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11 N Main St	open
Chateau Le Gari	Winery / distillery / taproom		303 S Main St	open
China Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1 S Main St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	5 S Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	17 E Hampton Rd	open
Goats N Roses	Restaurant (service type not stated)		86 E Hampton Road	open
Hogs Breath Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		86 E Hampton Rd	open
Jessica's Garden and Lobster Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	198 E Hampton Rd	open
Kona Life	Coffee shop	Coffee	18 Edstrom Rd	open
Marlborough Country Bakery & Tavern	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	3 E Hampton Rd	open
Marlborough Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Greek	7 Independence Dr	open
Marlborough Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	3 E Hampton Rd	open
North American Grappling Association	Restaurant (service type not stated)		36 Saner Rd	open
Sadler's Ordinary	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	61 N Main St	open
Salmon River Airfield (9B8)	Other · Bar		44 Bull Hill Rd	open
Sara’s Sourdough Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	20 Lewis Rd	open
Shebeen Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		180 N Main St	open
Shop Two Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	45 N Main St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	4-8 E Hampton Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1B S Main St Unit B	open
The Chicken Shack at The Farm	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	86 E Hampton Rd	open
The Sugar Shack	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	11 Hickory Rd	open
The W Lounge	Bar		3 Farview Run	open
Three Fellas Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4 E Hampton Rd	open
Village Green Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	32 E Hampton Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7 E Hampton Rd	open
Zina's Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	17 N Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	8	4	2	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	4	1	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	9	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06447. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06248	4.3 mi	9	2023
06231	4.5 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.