BMIE Market 06517
New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,221 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±918 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,078 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,853 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,789 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $104,550 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $339,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,724 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06517 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -18.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +160.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06517. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.2 | 79 | 40% | +31.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.8 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 16.7 | 17 | 25% | +4.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,221 | 76 | 40% | +30.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 104,550 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,078 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -18.8 | 14 | 35% | +5.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.1 | 76 | 25% | +18.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,221 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 104,550 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -18.8 | 14 | 50% | +6.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -18.8 | 14 | 30% | +4.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (29)
By cuisine
American 5 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beyond The Salt Food Truck | Food truck | 1665 Whitney Ave | open | |
| Bread Basket The Bread Basket | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 25 Putnam Ave | open |
| Cafe Amici | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Italian · Coffee | 1640 Whitney Ave | open |
| Cantean | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 1660 Whitney Ave | open |
| Cherry On Top Ice Cream Shop | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1654 Whitney Ave | open |
| Country Food Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Greek · Sandwiches · Bakery | 2215 State St | open |
| Cumin India Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 266 Skiff St | open |
| Devin's Lounge | Bar | 424 Newhall St | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 244 Skiff St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1950 State St | open |
| Fare Market | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1656 Whitney Ave | open |
| JJ's Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2642 State St | open |
| Kumo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 218 Skiff St | open |
| Legal Grounds | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1235 Whitney Ave | open |
| Lynon's Restaurant & Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2151 State St | open |
| Mini Bites Bakeshop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | Spring Glen | open |
| No Worries Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 2520 State St | open | |
| Park Central Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1640 Whitney Ave | open |
| Paul & Eddy's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1919 1630 Whitney Ave | open |
| Playwright | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1232 Whitney Ave | open | |
| Richard's Corner Gourmet Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1647 Whitney Ave #5 | open |
| Salvatore's Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1670 Whitney Ave | open |
| Sorrento's Brick Oven Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 244 Skiff St | open |
| State Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2642 State St, 2642 State St | open | |
| The Salad Palace | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 23 Putnam Ave | open |
| The Soup Girl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1242 Whitney Ave | open |
| V.F.W. | Bar · Quick service | Burgers | 403 Morse St | open |
| Ebony Lounge Ii Llc | Bar | 424 Newhall St | closed | |
| J&d Deli + More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2642 State St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |