BMIE Market 06615

Fairfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±911 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±420 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,453 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,671 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,534 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,075 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,648 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$364,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,014 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	51 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06615
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+59.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,450.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	58 (range 51–64) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06615. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73	73	40%	+29.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.7	59	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	77.3	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,136	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	81,534	64	40%	+25.7
Households (ACS)	6,973	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	35%	+25.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	29.8	20	25%	+5.1
Population (ACS)	17,136	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	81,534	64	20%	+12.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30.8	84	50%	+41.8
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	30%	+21.4
20-year restaurant growth	59.4	70	20%	+14.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (112)

By cuisine

American 23 · Pizza 14 · Italian 12 · Asian 8 · Dessert 8 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Seafood 7 · Latin American (other) 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · Caribbean 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · German / Eastern European 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 72 · Bar 20 · Casual dining 18 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Specialty food shop 5 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
31 deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	245 Honeyspot Rd	open
Abalone Cafe and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		595 Main St	open
Acapulcos Mexican Family Restaurant & Cantina Acapulcos Mexican Family Restaurant & Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2419 Main St	open
Area Two Experimental Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1526 Stratford Ave	open
Athletic Brewing Co. - Former Brewery Location	Brewery / taproom		350 Long Beach Blvd	open
Aym Cars Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		99 Beardsley Ave	open
Baltyk Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · German / Eastern European	2505 Main St #11	open
Bar	Bar		2399 Main St	open
Blendz Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1400 W Broad St	open
Blue Goose Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	326 Ferry Blvd	open
Blue Sky Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	273 Ferry Blvd	open
Bronx Tale	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Steakhouse	225 Lordship Blvd	open
Capodicci's Pizzeria & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	60 Access Rd	open
Casa Bianca Pizza Stratford Casa Bianca Pizza Ansonia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2224 Barnum Ave	open
China House of Stratford	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1056 Stratford Ave	open
Ciao Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2410 Main St	open
Cibus Dos Cibus Latin Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	2415 Main St	open
Cibus Latin Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Woodend Rd	open
Collado Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	570 Honeyspot Rd	open
Connecticut Dist Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		333 Lordship Blvd	open
Copps Island Oyster Shack	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	638 Selbys Pond Rd	open
Cricket Car Hop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	900 Access Rd	open
Dal Mare Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	350 Stratford Rd	open
Dayone Llc Dba Riley's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14 Beach Dr	open
Doughnut Inn	Coffee shop · Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Coffee	2505 Main St	open
Drowsy Whaler	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1 Dorne Dr	open
Duchess Duchess Restaurants	Quick service	Burgers · American	690 Lordship Blvd	open
Duchess Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1000 Stratford Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1273-1275 W. Broad St.	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1150 Honeyspot Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	60 Access Rd	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	245 Honeyspot Rd	open
Dynasty Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7 Woodend Rd	open
El Sol Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Mexican	1400 W Broad St Ste 6	open
Fairfield Craft Ales	Brewery / taproom		724 Honeyspot Rd	open
Fairfield Pizza Fairfield Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	935 Barnum Avenue Cutoff	open
Fdic	Bar		93 Sedgewick Ave	open
Fishbar De Milan Stratford	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2505 Main St	open
Frenchies Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2420 Main St	open
Fried Wings House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Chicken / wings · Asian	60 Access Rd	open
Goody Bassett's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2404 Main St	open
Gregory's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	1400 W Broad St	open
Grill Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Latin American (other) · Breakfast	145 Lordship Blvd	open
Heffer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Chicken / wings · American	2377 Main St	open
Hendricks Bar And Grill	Bar		1212 Stratford Ave	open
High Ridge Fuel And Mart Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2820 Main St	open
Honeyspot Deli Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	570 Honeyspot Rd	open
Honeyspot Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	665 Honeyspot Rd	open
House Of Flavorz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1055 Main St	open
Ignite Hookah Lounge	Bar		2248 Barnum Ave	open
Jean's Diner	Casual dining	American · Caribbean · Breakfast	1980 Stratford Ave	open
Jerry's Shakespeare Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	1000 Stratford Ave	open
Jerry's Shakespeare Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	999 Stratford Ave	open
Joshie's Latin Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2368 Barnum Ave	open
JTB Soul Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2368 Barnum Ave	open
Kama Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2410 Main St	open
Kentucky Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1030 Stratford Ave Ste 4	open
Knapp's Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	520 Sniffens Ln	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1219 Stratford Ave	open
La Vera Pizzeria & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · Pizza	7414, 60 Access Rd	open
Lazy Dog Management Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2505 Main St	open
Little Little Italy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		53 Beach Dr	open
Little Pub Little Pub	Bar · Casual dining		10 Washington Pkwy	open
LobsterCraft LobsterCraft	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2377 Main St	open
Lordship Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	60 Beach Dr	open
Lovely Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	195 Charles St	open
Main Street Tavern	Bar		1884 Main St	open
Main Wah Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1345 Barnum Ave	open
Mare Bello Italian & Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	14 Beach Dr	open
Marnick's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10 Washington Pkwy	open
Maxwell's American Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2415 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	411 Barnum Ave	open
My Gyro Turkish Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	1030 Stratford Ave	open
Oar & Oak Birdhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2377 Main St	open
Off the Hook	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	170 Ferry Blvd	open
Outriggers Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	555 Broad St	open
Panda Garden Panda Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2347 Barnum Ave	open
Papa's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	1886 Main St	open
Paramount Restaurants Of Conn Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		273 Ferry Blvd	open
Pepsi Beverages Co	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		355 Benton St	open
PhatBreads	Bar	Pizza	10 Washington Pkwy	open
Piklys Restaurant Caribbean Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	1 Woodend Rd	open
PizzaCo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1625 Stratford Ave	open
Pregame Stratford	Bar · Casual dining	American	2399 Main St	open
Presto Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	170 Ferry Blvd	open
Riley's by The Seawall	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	14 Beach Dr	open
Rose's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	595 Main St	open
Royal Confections	Bakery	Bakery	353 Curtis Ave	open
Series Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2385 Main St	open
Shell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		2520 Main St	open
Skinless Dogs Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Hollister St	open
Stanziale's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		595 Main St	open
Stratford Honeyspot Donuts Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1150 Honeyspot Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1140 Main St	open
T D Vietnam Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · Sandwiches · Asian	2505 Main St	open
TD Vietnam Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	2505 Main St	open
The Galley Bar & Patio	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · American	170 Ferry Blvd	open
The Landing AT Five Twenty	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	520 Sniffens Ln	open
The Oasis	Casual dining · Bar		2419 Main St	open
The Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	999 Stratford Ave	open
The Pickle Barrel The Pickle Barrel	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	1889 Main St	open
Troy Foods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		665 Honeyspot Rd Unit 1	open
Two Roads Food Hall + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1625 Stratford Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1105 Main Street	open
Wilton Gas Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2820 Main St	open
Windmill Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		400 Hollister St	open
Zack's Frozen Yogurt	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies	60 Access Rd	open
Fat Sammy's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Woodend Rd	closed
Oar & Oak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2385 Main St	closed
Sadie's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2385 Main St	closed
Sports Corner Cafe	Bar		1212 Stratford Ave	closed
The Ole Dog Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		2505 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	27	21	12	6	3	4	NAICS1997
1999	30	24	15	6	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	31	25	11	11	3	4	NAICS1997
2001	42	32	16	13	3	8	NAICS1997
2002	37	28	17	7	4	4	NAICS1997
2003	43	32	17	10	5	4	NAICS2002
2004	47	39	22	9	8	3	NAICS2002
2005	39	31	19	6	6	3	NAICS2002
2006	56	47	25	14	8	4	NAICS2002
2007	53	45	27	11	7	5	NAICS2002
2008	48	41	22	14	5	3	NAICS2007
2009	47	40	23	13	4	3	NAICS2007
2010	47	40	23	13	4	3	NAICS2007
2011	50	43	25	14	4	3	NAICS2007
2012	46	41	24	13	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	45	39	23	12	4	4	NAICS2012
2014	40	34	20	10	4	5	NAICS2012
2015	37	31	18	9	4	4	NAICS2012
2016	40	34	21	9	4	4	NAICS2012
2017	43	38	24	10	4	4	NAICS2017
2018	44	39	23	12	4	4	NAICS2017
2019	44	40	23	13	4	3	NAICS2017
2020	45	42	23	14	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	52	46	23	18	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	53	49	26	18	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	56	51	25	20	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06615. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06607	2.1 mi	4	2017
06608	3.2 mi	14	2023
06610	3.7 mi	32	2023
06604	4.3 mi	55	2023
06614	4.5 mi	59	2023
06605	4.7 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.