BMIE Market 06878

Fairfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±697 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,686 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,043 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,818 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,968,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189,155 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06878
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+114.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+150.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06878. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.2	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.0	73	35%	+25.6
Market Momentum Score	88.3	88	25%	+22.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,328	68	40%	+27.2
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	40%	+39.9
Households (ACS)	2,686	65	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.0	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	8,328	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	20%	+20.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	114.3	86	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ada's Kitchen + Coffee	Café	Coffee	112 Riverside Ave	open
Ada's Variety Shop	Dessert		112 Riverside Ave	open
Aux Delices Foods Aux Delices	Bakery · Catering	Bakery	1075 E Putnam Ave	open
Baang	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1191 E Putnam Ave	open
Bobby Q's Pit Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Burgers	1340 E Putnam Ave	open
CFCF Coffee Bar	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1160 E Putnam Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1233 E Putnam Ave	open
Chopt Creative Salad Co. Chopt Creative Salad Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	1271 E Putnam Ave	open
COBS Bread COBS Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	5 Riverside Ln	open
Dimare Pastry Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1243 E Putnam Ave	open
El Chilito restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7 Apache Pl	open
Greenwich Fish Company Greenwich	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5 Riverside Ln	open
Greenwich Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1072 E Putnam Ave	open
Hunan Cafe Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1233 E Putnam Ave	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1245 East Putnam Ave	open
Kumo Japanese Restaurant Stamford	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi		open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1207 E Putnam Ave	open
Megan's Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	19 Perna Ln	open
MR. FALAFEL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	1239 E PUTNAM Ave	open
Pom Riverside Llc Dba Pomodoro Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1247 E Putnam Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1253 E Putnam Ave Thruway Shopping Center	open
Studio Ii Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1037 E Putnam Ave Ste 3	open
Tony's Tony's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	1114 E Putnam Ave	open
Tony's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	322 Palmer Hill Rd	open
Valbella	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1309 E Putnam Ave	open
Victor Arthur Pardi, D.d.s., P.c. Dba Children's Dentistry A	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1212 E Putnam Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	7	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06878. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06870	0.8 mi	22	2023
06807	1.9 mi	20	2023
06830	2.2 mi	92	2023
06901	2.9 mi	99	2023
06902	2.9 mi	103	2023
06906	4.3 mi	17	2023
06905	4.5 mi	62	2023
10573	5.0 mi	115	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.