BMIE Market 06890

Fairfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,653 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±561 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,791 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,306 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,731 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$218,841 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,541 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,119 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±632 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,212,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±116,341 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06890
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+800.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06890. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.2	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.1	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	58.1	58	25%	+14.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,653	59	40%	+23.7
Median household income (ACS)	218,841	99	40%	+39.7
Households (ACS)	1,791	59	20%	+11.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	35%	+20.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	34.4	16	25%	+4.1
Population (ACS)	4,653	59	20%	+11.8
Median household income (ACS)	218,841	99	20%	+19.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	14.3	58	30%	+17.4
20-year restaurant growth	800	99	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 8 · Asian 3 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Artisan Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	275 Old Post Rd	open
Athena Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3350 Post Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3355 Post Rd	open
Blackstones Grille Blackstones Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	2600 Post Rd	open
Coromandel Cuisine of India	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		17 Pease Ave	open
Driftwood Sandwich Shop	Café · Coffee shop	Sandwiches · Coffee	325 Pequot Ave	open
Freddy's Platos	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3611 Post Rd	open
Gray Goose	Bar · Casual dining	American	246 Old Post Rd	open
Horseshoe Cafe	Bar	American	355 Pequot Ave	open
Kabab & Hummus House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	3449 Post Rd	open
Lucky Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	3381 Post Rd	open
Mama Chow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3381 Post Rd	open
Organika Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	3546 Post Rd	open
Paci Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	96 Station St	open
Pattaya Wok Asian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	17 Pease Ave	open
Proof Pizza Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1401 Mill Hill Rd	open
S&S Dugout	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3449 Post Rd	open
Sammy's Southport Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	295 Pequot Ave	open
Southport Crossing	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3530 Post Rd	open
Southport Diner	Casual dining	American	3350 Post Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3363 Post Rd	open
The Sono Baking Company and Cafe SoNo Baking Company & Café	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	353 Pequot Ave	open
The Tasty Yolk	Food truck		1505 Pequot Ave	open
The Woods Jupiter, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2507 Post Rd	open
Toscano Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3383 Post Rd	open
Wafu Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3671 Post Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	6	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	5	1	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	9	8	5	1	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	7	1	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	9	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	10	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	9	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	16	9	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	16	15	10	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	17	10	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	10	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	17	10	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	17	10	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	17	9	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06890. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06824	1.7 mi	118	2023
06880	2.9 mi	98	2023
06605	3.8 mi	31	2023
06604	4.0 mi	55	2023
06825	4.0 mi	65	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.