BMIE Market 06896

Fairfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,779 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,399 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,110 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,793 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$186,060 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,101 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$706,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06896
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+180.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+133.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 10–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06896. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.7	81	40%	+32.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.0	78	35%	+27.3
Market Momentum Score	91.7	92	25%	+22.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,779	69	40%	+27.5
Median household income (ACS)	186,060	99	40%	+39.4
Households (ACS)	3,399	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.0	49	25%	+12.4
Population (ACS)	8,779	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	186,060	99	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	55.6	92	50%	+46.0
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	180	91	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Keys Restaurant and Georgetown Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	19 Main St	open
Aranci 67	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7 Main Street	open
Black Cat Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Sandwiches	58 Redding Rd	open
Crystals & Cones Ice Cream and Gifts	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	15 Main St	open
DOUGH & CO	Café · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee · Bakery	4 Old Mill Rd	open
Georgetown Saloon	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 Main St	open
Kermit's Bake Shop	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	8 Main St Ste C	open
Lobster Pot Studio & Gallery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	23 Mark Twain Ln	open
Lombardi Pizza Plus Ii Of Georgetown, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22A Main St	open
Lombardi's Pizza e Restorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2 Long Ridge Rd	open
Lombardi's Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	22 Main St	open
Luca Wine Bar	Bar		7 Main St	open
Lumberyard	Bar		2 Main St	open
Milestone	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	2 Main St	open
Oliver's Deli & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2 Long Ridge Rd	open
PopUp Bagels	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8 Main St	open
Quartertone Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Rancho Alegre	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	6 Main St	open
Redding Beer Company	Brewery / taproom		7 Main St	open
Redding Ridge Market	Other	Sandwiches	119 Black Rock Tpke	open
Single Garden Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	50 Cross Hwy	open
Take A Breath	Bar		70 Dayton Rd	open
The Redding Roadhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		406 Redding Rd	open
The Spinning Wheel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	109 Black Rock Tpke	open
Uncle Leo's Not Just Coffee and Donuts	Other	Sandwiches	19 Main St	open
Wire Mill BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	12 Old Mill Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	5	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	9	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	7	6	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	10	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	11	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	7	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	12	9	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	10	—	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06896. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06801	4.4 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.