BMIE Market 07461

Sussex County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,731 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±364 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,563 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,297 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$106,981 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±91 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$370,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,090 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	83.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07461
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07461. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.1	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.8	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	27.9	28	25%	+7.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,731	80	40%	+32.1
Median household income (ACS)	106,981	85	40%	+34.0
Households (ACS)	7,179	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.7	70	25%	+17.4
Population (ACS)	18,731	80	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	106,981	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	50%	+9.7
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	53.9	68	20%	+13.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 7 · Italian 7 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Coffee 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Bar 7 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Airport Pub	Bar · Casual dining		65 County Rd 639	open
Annabel Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	70 E Main St #72	open
Bobo Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	63 Main St	open
Brothers Pizza & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	455 State RT 23	open
Clove Brook Market	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Catering	Bakery · Sandwiches	800 RT-23	open
Courtney's Kitchen and Farm Stand	Bakery	Bakery	106 Beemer Church Rd	open
Cow Patty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	154 NJ-23	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	247 State Rt 23 247 State Rt 23	open
DareDevil Deli & Bagel	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	65 County Rd 639	open
Double S Diner Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		154 State Rt 23	open
Drew's Tavern Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1601 County Rd 565	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	190 Route 23	open
Early American Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	9 Main St	open
Eastern Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	455 State RT 23	open
Elias Cole	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1176 NJ-23	open
Emily's Hearth	Bakery · Food truck	Bakery · Pizza	4 Hamburg Ave	open
Extreme Pizza - Wantage	Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	218 County Road 519	open
Food barn	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	24 County Rd 639	open
Frank's Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	205 NJ-23	open
Fratello's PIzzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7 Boulder Hills Blvd	open
Friendly's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	455 State Rt 23	open
Grand Eastern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		70-72 E Main St	open
Grande Italia Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		205 State Rt 23	open
Holland American Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	246 NJ-23	open
Indian Spice Route 23	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	455 NJ-23 Ste 1	open
Lindsay's Confections	Food truck		48 File Rd	open
Lorenzo's Pizzeria and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	67 Main St	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	455 NJ-23	open
New Airport Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	51 County Rd 639	open
Old Stone	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	13 Mill St	open
Patrick's Wine Barn	Bar		38 Hamburg Ave	open
Sasha's Famous Empanadas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	52 Main St	open
Skylands Craft Beer & Wine Garden	Bar		447 NJ-284	open
Stuffed Olive Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Libertyville Rd	open
Sussex Chat Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		289 State Rt 23	open
Sussex Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	22 Main St	open
Sussex Queen Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	289 NJ-23	open
Sussex Sit and Chat Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	289 RT-23	open
Sussex Union House Inn Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9 Main St	open
T's Tasty Treats Freeze Dried Candy	Dessert	Dessert	10 Newton Ave	open
Taco of the Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	54 Main St	open
The Bagel Tree North	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	205 NJ-23	open
The Green Olive	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	1 Libertyville Rd	open
The Lamp Post Inn	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · American	1601 County Rd 565	open
The Sussex Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		15-17 Main St	open
Thirsty Farmer Bar & Packaged Goods	Bar		31 Loomis Ave	open
TJ's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	39 Loomis Ave	open
To The Moon and Back Cupcakery	Bakery	Bakery		open
Up the creek cafe	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café	Italian · Sandwiches · Coffee	1214 NJ-23 Building B	open
Ventimiglia Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		101 Layton Rd	open
Yamato Hibachi Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian	205 NJ-23	open
El Coqui	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	4 Hamburg Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	22	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	24	20	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	24	18	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	19	14	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	24	17	12	3	2	6	NAICS1997
1999	20	13	10	2	1	6	NAICS1997
2000	21	13	8	4	1	7	NAICS1997
2001	23	14	9	3	2	8	NAICS1997
2002	17	10	5	5	—	6	NAICS1997
2003	19	13	6	7	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	24	17	7	9	1	6	NAICS2002
2005	24	19	7	12	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	27	22	9	13	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	30	24	13	10	1	4	NAICS2002
2008	24	20	11	8	1	4	NAICS2007
2009	29	27	15	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	26	24	12	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	25	23	13	7	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	23	20	14	4	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	27	24	14	7	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	23	21	15	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	26	24	17	5	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	25	23	15	5	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	24	23	15	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	22	16	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	21	14	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	21	14	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	22	16	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	20	15	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	20	15	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07461. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10988	4.5 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.