BMIE Market 07823
Warren County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,451 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±295 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±243 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,571 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,543 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $85,522 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,815 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 55.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $322,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,517 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 25.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07823 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +7.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 14 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07823. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 67.8 | 68 | 40% | +27.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.9 | 57 | 35% | +19.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 47.1 | 47 | 25% | +11.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,451 | 66 | 40% | +26.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,522 | 69 | 40% | +27.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,512 | 69 | 20% | +13.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 59 | 35% | +20.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.1 | 37 | 25% | +9.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,451 | 66 | 20% | +13.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,522 | 69 | 20% | +13.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 59 | 30% | +17.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 43 | 20% | +8.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (39)
By cuisine
American 11 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Coffee 4 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Hot dogs 2 · BBQ 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Casual dining 9 · Bar 6 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bagelsmith Food Store Deli & Pizzeria | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 540 County Road 519 | open |
| Bello Giorno Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 517 US Highway 46 | open | |
| China Inn 1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 314 Water St | open |
| China Wok China Wok, Altavista Va. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 531 US-46 | open |
| Crossroads Diner | Casual dining | American | Route 46 & 519 | open |
| Dave's Hot Chicken Dave's Hot Chicken | Quick service | 744 NJ-70 W | open | |
| Domenicos Pizzeria and Liquor Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian · Pizza | 507 US-46 | open |
| Dow's Low-N-Slow | Catering · Food truck | BBQ | 156 County Road 519 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 436 US-46 | open |
| Flavorz Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 475 US-46 | open |
| Four Sisters Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 783 County Road 519 | open | |
| Gammy & Pappys Cafe, Bel-Pike Lanes | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 107 County Road 519 | open |
| George's Place | Bar | 1 Greenwich St | open | |
| Harper's Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 320 Front St | open |
| Hot Dog Johnny's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · American | 6 Colby Ct | open |
| Hot Dog Johnny's | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 333 US-46 | open |
| Jazmin's Creations | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 299 Mill St | open |
| King's Gambit Coffee Co. | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 8 Hardwick St | open |
| Little Italy (Belvidere) | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 539 US-46 | open |
| Little John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 401 Water St | open |
| Lucky House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 189 County Road 519 | open | |
| Luigi's Rancho | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 480 US-46 | open |
| Matarazzo Farms Roadside Market | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian | 785 County Road 519 | open |
| Peet's Coffee and Tea | Coffee shop | Coffee | 525 US Highway 46 | open |
| Pizza Mia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 189 County Road 519 | open |
| Polar Freeze | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 440 US-46 | open |
| Red Wolfe Inn | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 130 County Road 519 | open |
| Riverside Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 475 US-46 | open |
| Sarivan Bake Shoppe | Bakery | Bakery | 627 3rd St | open |
| Skoogy's Deli & Ice Cream | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 313 Water St | open |
| Skoogys Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 110 Greenwich St | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 543 Route 46 East, Store #4 | open |
| Thai at the Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 249 Water St | open |
| The Waterfront, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 507 US Highway 46 | open | |
| Top of the Green | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 369 Oxford Hazen Rd | open |
| Uncle Buck's Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2 Market St | open |
| Waters Edge | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 487 US-46 | open |
| Yummy House Yummy House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 187 County Road 519 | open |
| Zeek's Place | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining | Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 118 County Road 519 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 14 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 14 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 18 | 16 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 21 | 15 | 11 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |