BMIE Market 07825

Warren County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,210 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±542 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,442 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±245 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,555 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,672 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$123,785 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,332 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,775 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±318 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$423,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,497 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	84.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07825
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07825. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.2	78	40%	+31.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.9	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	31.7	32	25%	+7.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,210	70	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	123,785	92	40%	+36.6
Households (ACS)	3,442	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	60	25%	+15.1
Population (ACS)	9,210	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	123,785	92	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	9.1	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blairstown Brewery Limited Liability Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45 State Route 94	open
Blairstown Dairy	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	223 NJ-94	open
Blairstown Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	70 RT-94	open
Buck Hill Brewery & Restaurant	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		45 NJ-94	open
Chocolate Lover's Emporium	Dessert	Dessert	46 Cooke Rd	open
Doghouse Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	141 NJ-94	open
Dominick's Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	128 NJ-94	open
Frank's Pizza and Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	152 State Route 94	open
Gourmet Gallery	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	31 Main St	open
Inhouse Restaurant and Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American	606 County Road 519	open
JD's Wines & Liquors	Bar		187 NJ-94	open
New Ho Ho Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese		open
New Ho Ho Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	152 Route 94	open
Pizza Express Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	187 State Route 94	open
Race Farm Cafe And Creamery	Café	Coffee	155 State Route 94	open
Roman Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	124A NJ-94	open
Sip-Rekt Poolside Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		1 Conrad Ct	open
Strawberry Moon Collective	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	112 NJ-94	open
Sugh Southern Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	521 Blairstown Rd	open
The Post Time Pub	Bar · Casual dining		25 Main St	open
Village Sundaes	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	141 B State Route 94	open
Wings Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	36 Lambert Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	14	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	10	7	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	8	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	7	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	20	16	6	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	16	12	3	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	15	12	3	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	16	11	3	8	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	15	10	3	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07825. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07846	4.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.