BMIE Market 07826

Sussex County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,967 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±475 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,374 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±181 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,180 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,892 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,598 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,667 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±347 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$392,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	58.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07826
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 15–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07826. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.7	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.5	58	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	66.8	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,967	63	40%	+25.3
Median household income (ACS)	116,598	89	40%	+35.7
Households (ACS)	2,374	64	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	35%	+22.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	28.5	22	25%	+5.4
Population (ACS)	5,967	63	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	116,598	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.4	78	50%	+39.2
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	13.3	41	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 8 · Bakery 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Café 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AG Pizza and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3 Mill St	open
Culver Liquor and Bar	Bar		364 US-206	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	407 US-206	open
Delectable Delights Baking	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4 Broad St	open
Flatbrook Farm	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Highway 206	open
Flatbrook Tap House	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	180 US-206	open
Goldcrest Portobellos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	103 US Highway 206 S	open
Gyp's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		25 US-206	open
Hainesville General Store	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Breakfast · Sandwiches	283 US Highway 206	open
Hainesville General Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	283 US Highway 206	open
JJ’s Bar & Package Goods	Bar		269 US-206	open
Jumboland Diner	Casual dining	American	438 US Highway 206	open
La Ferme Natasha	Bar		69 George Hill Rd	open
Lakeside Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	6026 436 US-206	open
Mezza Luna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	103 US Highway 206 S	open
Milk Street Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1 Milk St building 1	open
Mountain House Tavern and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	19 US-206	open
Nonno Lorenzo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	394 US-206	open
Nonno's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	103 US-206	open
Oak's Deli & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		269 US-206	open
Riviera Maya Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	340 US-206	open
Smokin' Mo's Southern BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	15 US-206	open
The Banner Bar	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
The Barnyard	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1 Wantage ave	open
The Carriage House on Culver Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	470 US-206	open
The Firehouse Bagel Company	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	332 US Highway 206	open
Third Base Pub	Bar		3 Mill St	open
Upper Sports Deck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3 Hillside Ave	open
Victoria Diner	Casual dining	American · BBQ	250 US-206	open
Yellow Cottage Deli & Bakery	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	345 US-206	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	18	11	7	2	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	16	10	6	2	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	18	13	6	3	4	4	NAICS1997
2001	19	12	6	4	2	5	NAICS1997
2002	19	12	7	3	2	5	NAICS1997
2003	21	15	6	6	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	20	14	5	6	3	3	NAICS2002
2005	21	16	5	7	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	21	16	4	8	4	3	NAICS2002
2007	20	16	7	7	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	19	15	5	7	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	17	13	5	6	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	18	14	4	7	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	17	13	3	6	4	3	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	3	8	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	18	14	4	8	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	16	12	5	5	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	15	11	3	6	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	16	12	4	6	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	16	12	4	5	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	6	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	17	12	4	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	18	14	5	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	18	14	4	7	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	20	16	5	9	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	23	17	6	9	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07826. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07851	3.3 mi	3	2017

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.