BMIE Market 08223

Cape May County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,048 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,833 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±244 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,125 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,419 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,920 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,656 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$420,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08223
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	26.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08223. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.8	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.0	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	21.3	21	25%	+5.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,048	57	40%	+22.8
Median household income (ACS)	107,131	85	40%	+34.1
Households (ACS)	1,833	60	20%	+11.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.2	23	25%	+5.9
Population (ACS)	4,048	57	20%	+11.4
Median household income (ACS)	107,131	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 6 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Bar 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Back Bay Cafe	Café	Coffee · Seafood · American	1 Harbor Rd	open
Baked By The Ocean	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	32 Tuckahoe Rd	open
Baked Pastry Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 Tuckahoe Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4 S Shore Rd	open
Big Apple Pizza Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	72 Tuckahoe Rd	open
Blue Dolfin Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	228 US-9	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4 Roosevelt Blvd	open
Custard Castle	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	137 Route US 9 S	open
Island Shore Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	232 Route US 9 S	open
Kirk's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	44 Rte Us 9 N	open
Las Olas Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4 Roosevelt Blvd Unit 4	open
Mama Mia's Ristorante Marmora	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	4 W Roosevelt Blvd	open
Pappy's Pig Roast & Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza · BBQ	205 Roosevelt Blvd	open
Ralph's Bagels & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	121 Tuckahoe Rd	open
Simply Sweet Candy Store	Dessert	Dessert	4 Roosevelt Blvd Unit 10	open
Sjl Groupllc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		316 Roosevelt Blvd	open
Taco Shells Marmora Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 W Roosevelt Blvd Unit 4	open
Tokyo Mandarin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Chinese	4 W Roosevelt Blvd	open
Tower Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Healthy / salads / bowls	80 Tuckahoe Rd	open
Tuckahoe Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1 Harbor Rd	open
Village Kitchen	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	46 Tuckahoe Rd	open
Yesterday's Creekside Tavern	Bar		316 Roosevelt Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	7	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	13	9	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	8	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08223. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
08226	2.7 mi	115	2023
08244	4.5 mi	51	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.