BMIE Market 08559

Hunterdon County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,836 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,052 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,982 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,166 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$179,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,692 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,592 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±405 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$560,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81,122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08559
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2012–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08559. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2012–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.5	76	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.2	56	35%	+19.7
Market Momentum Score	26.8	27	25%	+6.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,836	60	40%	+23.9
Median household income (ACS)	179,600	98	40%	+39.3
Households (ACS)	2,052	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	35%	+4.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.8
Population (ACS)	4,836	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	179,600	98	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-20	14	30%	+4.1
20-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	20%	+1.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aladdin	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13 BRIDGE St	open
Bagel Barn & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		763 Sergeantsville Rd	open
Bakehouse274	Bakery	Bakery	274 CR-519	open
BBQ 434	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	19 Bridge St	open
bridge street rotisserie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19 Bridge St	open
Camellia & Coffea	Café	Coffee	19 Bridge St	open
Covered Bridge Italian Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian · Breakfast	763 Sergeantsville Rd	open
Cravings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Delivery-focused · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	10B Risler St	open
Curiosity Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	19 Bridge St	open
Dtown Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	19 Bridge St	open
Half Pint Kitchen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	19 Bridge St	open
juice matters	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	19 Bridge St	open
Market Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19 Bridge St	open
Nina's Waffles & Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	567 Rosemont Ringoes Rd	open
Odd Bird Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		10 Risler St	open
Rosemont Supper Club	Casual dining	American	1998 Daniel Bray Hwy Route 29	open
Sciascia Confections	Dessert	Dessert	19 Bridge St	open
Starving Artist Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	18 Bridge St	open
Stockton Inn Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 S Main St	open
Terra Mare Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	13 Bridge St	open
The Borscht Belt	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	19 Bridge St	open
The Federal Twist Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8 Federal Twist Rd	open
Via Ponte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	13 Bridge St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08559. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
18933	3.9 mi	1	2016
18950	4.4 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.