BMIE Market 08735
Ocean County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 3,451 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,032 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 3,114 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,278 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $76,974 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 62.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,026 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,544 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $872,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64,200 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08735 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 54.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +180.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 31 (range 29–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08735. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 57.3 | 57 | 40% | +22.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49.6 | 50 | 35% | +17.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 75.8 | 76 | 25% | +18.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 3,451 | 55 | 40% | +21.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 76,974 | 58 | 40% | +23.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,032 | 61 | 20% | +12.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 35% | +25.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 81.1 | 5 | 25% | +1.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 3,451 | 55 | 20% | +10.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 76,974 | 58 | 20% | +11.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 75 | 50% | +37.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 30% | +22.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (50)
By cuisine
Coffee 10 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · American 6 · Breakfast 5 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Seafood 4 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Asian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 9 · Café 9 · Quick service 7 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Coffee shop 3
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd Ave Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Breakfast | 3620 NJ-35 | open |
| Al Modo Mio | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1700 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Angry Lobster Lavallette | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 403 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Bakin Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 3101 Route 35 N | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 604 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Beach Bagel & Deli | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 699-601 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Birchler Real Estate Llc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1503 Grand Central Ave | open | |
| Brooklyn Avenue | Café | Middle Eastern · Coffee | open | |
| Calm LLC | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3251 NJ-35 | open |
| Castaway's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 76 Grand Central Ave | open | |
| Channel Marker Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 3245 NJ-35 Rear | open |
| Channel Marker Holdings Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3245 Route 35 S | open | |
| Chef Justin’s Sunset Keys | Café | Coffee · Seafood · American | 607 Bay Blvd | open |
| Colonial Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5 Sturgis Rd | open |
| Colonial Bakery Colonial Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3091 NJ-35 | open |
| Colonial Bakery Inc Colonial Bakery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery | Juice / smoothies · Bakery | 1903 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Crabby Rick's Shore Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3626 Route 35 North | open |
| Crabs Claw Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 601 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3251 Route 35 N | open |
| Donuts Plus | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 3173 Route 35 N | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 604 Grand Central Ave | open |
| D’Amores Tea & Toast | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Breakfast | 403 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Gringo's Taco Shack Taco Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3257 Route 35 N | open |
| Happy Belly | Café | Coffee | 106 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Hoshino Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1700 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Iceberg Associates Llc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 403 Grand Central Ave | open | |
| Iceberg Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 403 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 604 Grand Central Unit B. | open |
| Kohr's Frozen Custard the Original Lavallette | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 507 Grand Central Ave | open |
| La Costa Lavallette | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1404 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Lava Java House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 500 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Lavallette Trattoria Italian Resturant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1700 Central Ave | open |
| Lenny's Pizza & Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 406 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Little Mia's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1506 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Meg's Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | BBQ | 1403 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Ohana Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian | 65 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Patti's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 3626 NJ-35 | open |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 603 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Runners Seafood Restaurant and Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 3101 RT-35 N | open |
| Sáfu Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 607 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Salty's Ice Cream | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bar | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Breakfast | 1901 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Sand Dollar Pancake House & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 1905 Grand Central Ave | open |
| Saulwil Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 601 Grand Central Ave | open | |
| She Shells Sweets | Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 605B Grand Central Ave | open |
| Simple Goodness | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 3632 Route 35 N | open |
| Summer Sweets Ice Cream Shop in Lavallette, NJ | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3071 Grand Central Ave | open |
| The Bay View Cafe | Café | Coffee | 607 Bay Blvd | open |
| The GypsyBar at Ocean Beach III | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | West Penguin Way | open | |
| The Music Man L.l.c | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2305 Grand Central Ave | open | |
| The Oven Restaurant & Pizza &pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1907 Grand Central Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 14 | 13 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 21 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 19 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 22 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |