BMIE Market 08757

Ocean County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	36,087 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,397 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	18,094 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±770 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,217 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	18,816 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,319 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	62.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,772 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$285,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,593 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08757
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-27.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+60.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 7–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	8 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08757. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.9	67	40%	+26.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.1	51	35%	+17.9
Market Momentum Score	7.7	8	25%	+1.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	36,087	92	40%	+36.9
Median household income (ACS)	58,319	27	40%	+10.7
Households (ACS)	18,094	96	20%	+19.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	35%	+2.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.2	99	25%	+24.7
Population (ACS)	36,087	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	58,319	27	20%	+5.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 8 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	50%	+3.3
10-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	30%	+2.2
20-year restaurant growth	-27.3	10	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 5 · American 4 · Bakery 4 · Italian 4 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Corner Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	399 Dover Rd #1	open
And It's Good Stuff	Quick service		374 Dover Rd	open
Angela's Delicatessen - Toms River NJ	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	730 Jamaica Blvd	open
Bakin' Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	314 Atlantic City Blvd	open
Best Food In Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	399-8 Dover Rd	open
Brickhouse Bar and Grill Cedarbridge Rd Brick Nj	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Broadway Giant Bagels Mule Road	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	600 Mule Rd	open
Buy Sell Restaurant Equipment NJ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		116 Davenport Rd	open
chinelos7	Restaurant (service type not stated)		374 Dover Rd	open
Chuck's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	134 NJ-166	open
City Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	USPS, 730 Jamaica Blvd	open
Dicky's Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Latin American (other) · American	332 Atlantic City Blvd	open
Dukes Ice Cream Co.	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	885 Bangert Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	380 Dover Rd	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	Route 37	open
Emilio's Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1889 Ridgeway Rd	open
Holiday City Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	600 Mule Rd	open
John, The Crazy Baker	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Coffee · Dessert	37 5th Ave	open
Luigi Deli Meat Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	424 Dover Rd	open
Marie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	376 Dover Rd	open
Midtown Pizzeria	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Vegetarian · Pizza · Italian	390 Dover Rd	open
Nature Nourishes	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	123 2nd Ave	open
Nina 1 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Plaza Dr	open
PaciDough’s Pizza Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Pizza · Bakery	312 Atlantic City Blvd	open
Pavo Pizzeria Restaurant & Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		600 Mule Rd	open
Pimps and Hos	Bar		101 Dover Rd	open
Pine Lake Park Clubhouse	Bar		8th Ave @ Morningside St	open
Quoney's - a Taste of "the South""	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ · American	370 Dover Rd	open
Spices of Jamaica	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	370 Dover Rd	open
STR Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	399 Dover Rd Suite 4	open
Sweet Zi's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		730 JAMAICA Blvd	open
The Happy Hour	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		730 Jamaica Blvd #30	open
Thegrogs Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		600 Mule Rd	open
Tr Dover Donuts, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		380 Dover Rd	open
Zi Marie's Original Pizzeria Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Pizza	730 Jamaica Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	12	3	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	3	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	5	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	4	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	4	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	16	15	5	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	14	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	16	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	15	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08757. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
08722	3.8 mi	6	2023
08755	3.9 mi	49	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.