BMIE Market 08827

Hunterdon County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,346 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±537 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,638 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,629 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,774 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$135,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,678 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±201 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$443,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,880 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08827
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 6–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08827. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.4	72	40%	+29.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.0	47	35%	+16.5
Market Momentum Score	28.9	29	25%	+7.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,346	58	40%	+23.2
Median household income (ACS)	135,625	94	40%	+37.6
Households (ACS)	1,638	58	20%	+11.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	35%	+6.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.4	42	25%	+10.4
Population (ACS)	4,346	58	20%	+11.6
Median household income (ACS)	135,625	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	30%	+5.3
20-year restaurant growth	-20	14	20%	+2.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 3 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 4 · Bakery 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bagelsmith Food Stores & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · American	172 Perryville Rd	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	66 NJ-173	open
Club 31 Tavern	Bar		157 State Route 31	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	68 Route 173 Exxon Station	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	Co Rd 635	open
Farmhouse at Grand Colonial	Restaurant (service type not stated)		86 Route 173 West	open
Hampton Junction	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	23 New St	open
Hampton Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	150 NJ-31	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	461 Rt 31 S	open
New Hampton INN	Bar			open
Obsessions Gentlemen's Club	Bar		159 State Route 31	open
Oink And Moo BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	167 Perryville Rd	open
Perryville Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		167 Perryville Rd	open
Rosata's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	8 New St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	66 Route 173 West	open
Your Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	459 Rt.31, W Asbury Anderson Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	7	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	10	7	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	8	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	11	8	2	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	10	7	2	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	7	1	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	1	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	9	2	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	8	1	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	11	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08827. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
08809	2.8 mi	38	2023
08802	3.1 mi	7	2023
08829	4.1 mi	4	2023
08826	4.4 mi	4	2023
08801	4.9 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.