BMIE Market 08848

Hunterdon County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,134 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±663 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,909 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±269 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,435 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,317 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$138,614 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,484 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±279 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$440,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08848
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08848. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.2	78	40%	+31.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.9	55	35%	+19.2
Market Momentum Score	18.8	19	25%	+4.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,134	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	138,614	95	40%	+37.9
Households (ACS)	2,909	67	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	35%	+6.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.3	63	25%	+15.8
Population (ACS)	8,134	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	138,614	95	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	50%	+9.7
10-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	30%	+5.6
20-year restaurant growth	-9.1	17	20%	+3.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alba Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		269 Riegelsville Warren Glen Rd	open
Alba Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		269 County Road 627	open
Asian Yummy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Chinese	637 Milford Warren Glen Rd	open
Bo Bo Kitchen Ii	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1004 Frenchtown Rd	open
Canal House Cooking Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Bridge St	open
Chocolate In the Oven Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	53 Bridge St	open
Descendants Brewing Company	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		61 Bridge St	open
El Charro Del Rio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	56 Bridge St	open
HiiQuality Empanadas	Restaurant (service type not stated)		50 Bridge St	open
Jimmy's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	525 Milford Warren Glen Rd	open
Lovin'oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	17 Bridge St	open
Ma-De-Chat Shop	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	8 Railroad Ave	open
Mezza Luna Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	633 Milford Warren Glen Rd	open
Milford Station Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2 Bridge St	open
Panda House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	32 Bridge St	open
Pipolo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	50 Bridge St	open
The Farm House Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		425 Milford Warren Glen Rd	open
The Little York	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	569 Spring Mills Rd	open
Trattoria Di Fiore	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	269 County Road 627	open
Upper Crust Pizza & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American		open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	3	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	4	5	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	10	6	1	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	10	4	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08848. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
08804	3.6 mi	3	2021
18972	4.9 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.