BMIE Market 10044
New York County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 11,520 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±992 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±484 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,661 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,913 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $103,347 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,617 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,327 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,034,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±137,971 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 0.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10044 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +71.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +140.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 13 (range 11–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10044. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.3 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 79.7 | 80 | 35% | +27.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 84.4 | 84 | 25% | +21.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 11,520 | 73 | 40% | +29.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,347 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,175 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 71.4 | 88 | 35% | +30.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.4 | 71 | 25% | +17.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 11,520 | 73 | 20% | +14.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,347 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 20 | 77 | 50% | +38.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 71.4 | 88 | 30% | +26.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 300 | 97 | 20% | +19.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (19)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 5 · American 3 · Asian 3 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Pizza 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Other 4 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bread and Butter Market | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 579 Main St | open |
| Cafe Aviva | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 559 Main St | open |
| China 1 Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 609 Main St | open |
| Fuji East Japanese Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 455 Main St | open |
| Granny Annie's Bar and Kitchen | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food · American | 425 Main St | open |
| Hurricane Diner Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 549 Main St | open | |
| Library Bar East Village NYC | Bar | open | ||
| ME Mediterranean Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · European | 548 Main St | open |
| MTA Subway - Roosevelt Island (F) | Other | Sandwiches | Roosevelt Island | open |
| NISI BISTRO | Casual dining | Greek · American | 549 Main St | open |
| Nonno's Focacceria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | Sandwiches · Italian · Pizza | 455 Main St | open |
| Panorama Room NYC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 22 N Loop Rd | open | |
| Pier NYC | Bar | 425 Main St | open | |
| Riverwalk Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 425 Main St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 455 Main St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 900 Main St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 513 Main St | open |
| YiShan Korean restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 247 Main St | open | |
| Zhongzhong Noodles - Roosevelt Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Chinese · Asian | 568 Main St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 4 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 12 | 10 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |