BMIE Market 10303
Richmond County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,497 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,850 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,778 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±481 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,337 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,811 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $83,947 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,679 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,596 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $486,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,941 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10303 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +2.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +16.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +80.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 27–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.9 | 78 | 40% | +31.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.0 | 66 | 35% | +23.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 62.9 | 63 | 25% | +15.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,497 | 86 | 40% | +34.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 83,947 | 67 | 40% | +26.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,778 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 16.1 | 60 | 35% | +20.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.6 | 58 | 25% | +14.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,497 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 83,947 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 2.9 | 59 | 50% | +29.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 16.1 | 60 | 30% | +17.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 80 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (91)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 17 · American 11 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 9 · Latin American (other) 6 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · Italian 4 · Halal / kosher 3 · Mexican 3 · Peruvian 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Japanese 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Quick service 29 · Specialty food shop 14 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archie’s Famous Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2236 Forest Ave | open |
| baegle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 2220 FOREST Ave Unit D | open |
| Bagel Land | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1841 Forest Ave | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 2222 Forest Ave | open |
| Bhushan Deli & Grocery Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2040 Forest Ave | open |
| Big Al's Soul Food Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 170 South Ave | open |
| Bootleg Mannings | Bar | 2645 Forest Ave | open | |
| Broadways Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 2178 Forest Ave | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2363 Forest Ave | open |
| Cajun Restaurant Forest Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1756 Forest Ave # Store | open | |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1780 Forest Ave | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2343 Forest Ave | open |
| Charlie Brown's Fresh Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 1001 Goethals Rd N | open |
| Checkers | Quick service | 2270 Forest Ave | open | |
| Cheng's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · American | 2040 Forest Ave | open |
| Con Yapa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 300 Morningstar Rd | open |
| Crazy Taco & Tequila Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 238 Morningstar Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert | American · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2005 Forest Ave | open |
| Deli On the Block | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 172 South Ave | open |
| Deli On The Terrace | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2950 Richmond Ter | open |
| Dippy Chocolate | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2236 Forest Ave Ste 9 | open |
| Dominican Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 2180 Forest Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1776 Forest Ave Promanada Plaza | open |
| Eden Deli & Bagels | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 2894 Richmond Ter #2321 | open |
| El Caribeño Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 174 South Ave | open | |
| El Sabor Peruano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 2220 Forest Ave | open |
| Elm Park Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 238 Morningstar Rd | open | |
| Esf Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 55 Lasalle St | open | |
| Fran Liz Tea Cafe | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 215 Maple Pkwy | open |
| Ginos Pizza And Cafe | Café | 2040 foreat ave | open | |
| Great China Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 2154 Forest Ave | open |
| Harsh Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2236 Forest Ave Ste 10 | open | |
| Island crepes & shakes | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Breakfast · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 451 Northfield Ave | open |
| J And B Pizzeria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2220 Forest Ave | open |
| K&A Sandwich City | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 1805 Forest Ave | open |
| L&b Homemade Food, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 2960 Richmond Ter | open |
| La Campena | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Pizza | 300 Morningstar Rd | open |
| La Criolla - Peruvian Sandwich & Rotisserie Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 451 Northfield Ave | open |
| La Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 302 Morningstar Rd | open |
| La Riviera | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1976 Forest Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2040 Forest Ave | open |
| Mama Rosaria's Pizza and Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2146 Forest Ave | open |
| Marino’s Pizza House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2220 Forest Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1815 Forest Ave | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Quick service | 700 South Avenue | open | |
| Morningstar Forest Ltd. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1815 Forest Ave | open | |
| New Ranchito Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 302 Morningstar Rd | open |
| Noor Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1805 Forest Ave | open |
| O Star Deli and Grill | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar | Sandwiches · Halal / kosher | 2950 Richmond Ter | open |
| OK BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 451 Northfield Ave | open |
| Papa's Halal Fried Chicken and Gyro | Catering | Halal / kosher | 1787 Forest Ave | open |
| Piazza's Ice House Inc | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 41 Housman Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 11 Morningstar Road | open | |
| Planet Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2220 Forest Ave | open |
| Pollo Campero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2005 Forest Ave | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | Forest Ave | open |
| Poppy Seed Bagels and Catering | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 2220 Forest Ave | open |
| Ramzi Gyro & Grill | Specialty food shop · Coffee shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Coffee | 140 Morningstar Rd | open |
| Real Madrid Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · Seafood | 2075 Forest Ave | open |
| Rinconcito Paisa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 1976 Forest Ave | open |
| Romance Bar Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 163 Van Pelt Ave | open |
| Savian Pizza Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2146 Forest Ave | open | |
| Sazon Ramirez | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 174 South Ave | open |
| Sham Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 109 Van Pelt Ave | open |
| Spillane Parkside Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1815 Forest Ave | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2040 Forest Ave | open |
| Staten Island Beer Co. | Brewery / taproom | 20 Kinsey Pl | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2236 Forest Ave | open |
| Sweetie House Playground & Café | Café | Coffee | 2343 Forest Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake Shop | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 700 South Ave | open |
| Tu Tipico Domincano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 174 South Ave | open |
| Umi Hotpot Sushi & Seafood Buffet Umi premier Sushi & Seafood Buffet - Deptford | Buffet | Chinese · Sushi · Japanese | 1001 Goethals Rd N | open |
| Unique Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3075 Richmond Ter | open |
| Value Deli & Grocery | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Halal / kosher | 281 South Ave | open |
| Venecia Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1756 Forest Ave | open |
| Verde's on Forest | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2220 Forest Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1761 Forest Ave | open |
| Whiskey Hideaway | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2645 Forest Ave | open | |
| White Castle | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2238 Forest Ave | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1756 Forest Ave | open |
| Your Own Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 1980 Forest Ave | open |
| Your Taste Deli Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2524 Forest Ave | open |
| Yum Yum | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1778 Forest Ave | open |
| Yummy Machi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 2236 Forest Ave | open |
| Zara Forest | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 1745 Forest Ave | open |
| 新膳川 雲南米線 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 粉嶺花都廣場地下82號 | open |
| Cafe N Pane | Café | Coffee | 2980 Richmond Ter | closed |
| Fast Stop Deli & Grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 898 Richmond Ave | closed |
| Hook & Reel Cajun Seafood & Bar KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot-Orlando,FL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chinese | 1756 Forest Ave | closed |
| M&z Deli Grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2162 Forest Ave Fl 2 | closed |
| Pollo Tropical | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2005 Forest Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 14 | 12 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 14 | 12 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 17 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 23 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 28 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 30 | 13 | 16 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 16 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 34 | 14 | 18 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 32 | 12 | 17 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 19 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 43 | 14 | 23 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 34 | 9 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 33 | 32 | 8 | 17 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 35 | 34 | 8 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 31 | 8 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |