BMIE Market 11239
Kings County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,410 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,562 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,244 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±616 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,393 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,335 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $38,015 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,045 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,021 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $573,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±159,802 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11239 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +38.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 21 (range 16–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11239. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 49.7 | 50 | 40% | +19.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67.9 | 68 | 35% | +23.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 91.3 | 91 | 25% | +22.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,410 | 78 | 40% | +31.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 38,015 | 5 | 40% | +2.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,244 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 200 | 97 | 35% | +34.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.0 | 69 | 25% | +17.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,410 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 38,015 | 5 | 20% | +1.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 38.5 | 87 | 50% | +43.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 200 | 97 | 30% | +29.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 200 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (26)
By cuisine
American 7 · Coffee 6 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Caribbean 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Quick service 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Bar 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Applebee's Grill + Bar Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Sandwiches · American | 448 Gateway Dr Bldg M | open |
| Armandos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1366 Pennsylvania Ave | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1340 Pennsylvania Ave | open |
| Boulder Creek Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 355 Gateway Dr | open |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 632 Gateway Dr | open |
| Burger Ur Way | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1165 Elton St | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 459 Gateway Dr | open |
| China Star China Star | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1370 Granville Payne Ave | open |
| Crown Fried Chicken & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 524 VANDALIA Ave | open | |
| Dallas BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 911 Erskine St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1358 Pennsylvania Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 590 Gateway Dr | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 339 Gateway Dr BJs Wholesale Club | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers | 911 Erskine St | open |
| Fusion East | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Asian | 1179 Elton St | open |
| Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant Golden Krust | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1364 Granville Payne Ave | open |
| Olive Garden Italian Restaurant Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mediterranean | 505 Gateway Dr | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 528 Gateway Dr | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Pizza · Coffee | 519 Gateway Dr | open |
| Pizza Studio Pizza Studio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 528 Gateway Dr | open |
| Red Crab Juicy Seafood Red Crab - Juicy Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 911 Erskine St | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 455 Gateway Dr | open |
| Smashburger Smashburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 528 Gateway Dr | open |
| Starret Cleaners Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | Pennyslvania Ave | open |
| Starrett Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1366 Pennsylvania Ave | open | |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 355 Gateway Dr | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |