BMIE Market 11370

Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,436 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±606 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	39,688 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,244 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,009 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,874 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,003 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$851,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11370
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 27–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11370. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.2	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.1	72	35%	+25.2
Market Momentum Score	68.3	68	25%	+17.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,267	89	40%	+35.6
Median household income (ACS)	76,009	57	40%	+22.7
Households (ACS)	9,436	84	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	35%	+24.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.3	75	25%	+18.8
Population (ACS)	30,267	89	20%	+17.8
Median household income (ACS)	76,009	57	20%	+11.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+32.4
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 4 · Chinese 3 · European 3 · Mexican 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Greek 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Seafood 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 7 · Bar 6 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Bakery 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Admirals Club	Bar		La Guardia Airport	open
Antonio's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	76-08 21st Ave	open
Bistro Eloise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	75-57 31st Ave	open
Cannelle Patisserie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	75-59 31st Ave	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	75-65 31st Ave	open
Cassidy's Ale House	Bar		75-02 31st Ave	open
Chop-stick Kitchen Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7718 21st Ave	open
Chopsticks Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	77-18 21st Ave	open
Dosa Delight Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Vegetarian	32-55 73rd St	open
Ecuayogurt LLC	Other · Dessert	Latin American (other) · Ice cream / frozen desserts	78-11 19th Rd	open
Gianni	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7561 31st Ave	open
Gianni Pizza of Jackson Heights	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	81-13 Northern Blvd	open
J.J. Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Seafood · Asian	75-21 31st Ave	open
Jackson Hole Jackson Hole (3rd Ave)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	69-35 Astoria Blvd N	open
Joey's Place	Bar		84-14 Astoria Blvd	open
King River Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8018 31st Ave	open
King's Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	8406 Astoria Blvd	open
Mar-zaya Ice Cream Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7565 31st Ave	open
Mr. Bruno's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	75-63 31st Ave	open
N and R Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	77-19 25th Ave	open
Nick's Gourmet Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	7415 Ditmars Blvd	open
Peter greek empire	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	25-02 73rd St	open
Picanteria El Che de New York	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25-07 83rd St	open
Piu Bella Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7916 21st Ave	open
Plaka	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	75-61 31st Ave	open
Pokeyaki Japanese Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		83-10 Astoria Blvd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings	8310 Astoria Blvd	open
Rocco's Brick Oven Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	79-16 21st Ave.	open
Samuel Adams LaGuardia Brewhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	La Guardia Airport	open
Starlight Grill Restaurant & Sweet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8002 Astoria Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	75-23 31st Ave	open
Table 21	Casual dining		7608 21st Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	83-10 Astoria Blvd	open
The Airline Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6935 Astoria Blvd N	open
Tikka Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Halal / kosher	24-02 82nd St	open
Tommy's Delicious Gourmet	Specialty food shop · Dessert · Quick service	Sandwiches	7606 21st Ave	open
Tres Sabores Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	83-03 24th Ave	open
Whitexicans Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	81-15 Northern Blvd	open
Wibar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		La Guardia Airport	open
Airport Bagels & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	8420 Astoria Blvd	closed
Astoria Boulevard Donuts Llc Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	8310 Astoria Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	15	11	6	3	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	14	10	6	2	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	10	6	2	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	13	9	7	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	21	16	10	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	23	18	10	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	25	20	11	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	23	18	11	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	18	14	7	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	18	14	6	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	21	16	6	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	20	16	4	10	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	23	18	4	12	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	29	23	6	14	3	3	NAICS2012
2013	28	22	7	13	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	30	26	9	15	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	26	23	7	14	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	26	23	7	14	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	30	27	9	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	26	9	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	23	9	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	26	7	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	26	7	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	30	8	19	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	28	9	16	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11370. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11103	1.0 mi	189	2023
11372	1.1 mi	276	2023
11105	1.1 mi	125	2023
11369	1.2 mi	33	2023
11371	1.3 mi	5	2023
11377	1.5 mi	163	2023
11102	1.7 mi	80	2023
11106	2.0 mi	163	2023
11104	2.0 mi	108	2023
11373	2.0 mi	218	2023
11368	2.4 mi	173	2023
11101	2.7 mi	278	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.