BMIE Market 11415
Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,154 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,726 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,085 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,341 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,206 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $86,394 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,734 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,002 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±82 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $367,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,594 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 0.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11415 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -17.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -8.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -11.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +27.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 12–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.9 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11415. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.5 | 78 | 40% | +31.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 54.4 | 54 | 35% | +19.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 16.1 | 16 | 25% | +4.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,154 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 86,394 | 70 | 40% | +27.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,085 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -8 | 19 | 35% | +6.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.9 | 69 | 25% | +17.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,154 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 86,394 | 70 | 20% | +13.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -17.9 | 14 | 50% | +7.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -8 | 19 | 30% | +5.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -11.5 | 16 | 20% | +3.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (59)
By cuisine
Coffee 9 · American 8 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Indian 5 · Italian 5 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Peruvian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Casual dining 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Bar 4 · Café 4 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alba's Deli and Grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 119-20 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Aron's Sweets And More | Bakery | Bakery | 11801 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Ateaz Organic Coffee and Tea | Coffee shop | Coffee | 116-29 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Austin's Ale House | Casual dining · Bar | American | 82-70 Austin St | open |
| Baker's Dozen Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · American | 81-09 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| C Kew Gardens | Restaurant Lounge Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 12029 83rd Ave | open |
| Cocina Latina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 12522 Queens Blvd | open |
| Cookies and Cream Pastry Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 119-28 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Corvina Peruvian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian | 8060 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Dani's House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 81-28 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 81-55 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 120-74 Queens Blvd | open |
| Eternity | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 12035 83rd Ave | open |
| Eva's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 12036 Queens Blvd | open |
| Expresso Cafe Coffee House | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 80-60 Austin St | open |
| Fresh Tortillas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 11819 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Great Taystee Gardens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 8118 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Halal Cart | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | Metropolitan Avenue | open |
| Halal Delight Dz | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Halal / kosher | 83-06 Austin St | open |
| Halal Munchies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Sandwiches · Middle Eastern | 120-36 Queens Blvd | open |
| Hangar 11 Burgers & Brews | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 119-11 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Homemade Taqueria Kew Gardens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 8060 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Homestead Gourmet Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8145 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Hot Tasty Bakery Coffee | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 12010 Queens Blvd | open |
| Hr Kew Deli And Grocery Corp. | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 11815 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Jade Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 81-59 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Ka Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 12082 Queens Blvd | open |
| Kew Deli & Cafe Corp | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 81-07 Kew Gardens Rd | open |
| Kew Gardens Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Greek | 80-45 Kew Gardens Rd #7 | open |
| Kg Express Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8045 Kew Gardens Rd | open |
| La Rondine Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 120-38 Queens Blvd | open |
| Lainie and Christopher's Good Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8357 118th St | open | |
| Last Call Bar | Bar | 81-72 Lefferts Blvd | open | |
| Little Italy Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 12434A Queens Blvd | open |
| Love's Kitchen NYC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 12502 84th Rd | open |
| Mama's Lasagna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8125 Lefferts Blvd | open | |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 120-34 Queens Blvd | open |
| Mehak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 83-06 Austin St | open |
| Mini-burger Singas Famous Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Burgers · Italian | 8125 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Misty Vape Saloon | Bar | 8060 Lefferts Blvd | open | |
| Mr. Wish Mr.Wish Houston | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 80-62 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Nabhya Indian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 120-35 83rd Ave | open |
| New China Fresh Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 119-24 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| New Metro Sushi Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 11821 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| New Shanghai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 125-1-125-3 84th Rd | open |
| Ocha Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 12432 Queens Blvd | open |
| Odradeks Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 8260 Austin St | open |
| Pamplemousse Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 12518 Queens Blvd | open |
| Paul Michael's Brick Oven Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 85-19 126th St | open |
| Pink Lily Bakeshop | Bakery | Bakery | 81-50 Lefferts Blvd | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 120-32-Queens Blvd | open |
| Roast and Co Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | American · Coffee | 82-60 Austin St | open |
| Spring Time Restaurant Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12036 Queens Blvd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 118 24 Queens Blvd | open |
| Tex's Chicken and Burgers Tex’s Chicken & Burgers | Quick service | American · Burgers | 120-20 Queens Blvd | open |
| Tikka Indian Grill Tikka Indian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 119-30 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Tous Les Jours | Coffee shop | Coffee | 8107 Kew Gardens Rd | open |
| Tu Casa Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 119-05 Metropolitan Ave | open |
| Village Diner | Casual dining | American | 81-74 Lefferts Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 18 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 22 | 20 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 25 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 29 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 32 | 30 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 28 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 28 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 32 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 34 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 35 | 31 | 8 | 18 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 28 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 32 | 28 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 27 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 22 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2022 |