BMIE Market 11575

Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,705 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,817 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,452 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±439 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,272 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,369 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$126,146 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,565 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$481,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,401 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11575
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-5.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+220.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11575. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.5	83	40%	+33.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.2	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	53.2	53	25%	+13.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,705	80	40%	+32.1
Median household income (ACS)	126,146	92	40%	+36.8
Households (ACS)	4,452	73	20%	+14.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-5.9	21	35%	+7.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.6	78	25%	+19.5
Population (ACS)	18,705	80	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	126,146	92	20%	+18.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	-5.9	21	30%	+6.2
20-year restaurant growth	77.8	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (37)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 8 · Coffee 5 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 12 · Specialty food shop 8 · Bakery 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A7	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	163	open
Annies kitchen	Café · Coffee shop	American · Coffee	116 E Fulton Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	306 Nassau Rd	open
China Lee Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	317 Nassau Rd	open
Crown Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	319 Nassau Rd	open
Dunkin Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	306 Nassau Rd #308	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	509 Nassau Rd	open
El Paisa LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	425 Nassau Rd	open
Emmanuel's Bakery and Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Pizza · Bakery · Sandwiches · Latin American (other)	243 Nassau Rd	open
Frayer’s Antojitos	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		103 Nassau Rd	open
Golden Kitchen Chinese Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	310 Nassau Rd	open
Halal Bro's & Brasa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	319 Nassau Rd	open
Herbalife Luis Guallpa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	243 Nassau Rd	open
In & Out In-N-Out Merchandise	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	500 Nassau Rd	open
Joe's Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	313 Nassau Rd	open
La Fama Bar	Bar		313 Nassau Rd	open
La Fonda Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Latin American (other) · Sandwiches	175 Nassau Rd	open
La Paz Deli and Restaurant	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Latin American (other) · Sandwiches	377 B Nassau Rd	open
Los Tocayos grill y deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		90 Nassau Rd	open
Ls Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		243 Nassau Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	265 Nassau Rd	open
Mel's Roadside Flavor Food Truck #1	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		255 Nassau Rd	open
Midway Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	124 Nassau Rd	open
Miguel Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		243 Nassau Rd	open
Mista’s Nutt'n But Egg Rolls	Quick service		263 Babylon Tpke	open
New Wok King Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	474 Nassau Rd	open
Pier 95 Restaurant & Marina Long Island Seafood Pier 95 Restaurant Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	95 Hudson Ave	open
Pizza & Bibletime	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	243 Frederick Ave	open
Shake & Burger Nyc Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		319 Nassau Rd	open
Shalom Deli Cafe	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	261 Nassau Rd	open
Star Corner Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		263 Nassau Rd	open
Stop To Shop Grocery-deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	336 Babylon Tpke	open
The Precious Gift Of Life	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	18 Willett Pl	open
Tropical Jerk	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	175 Nassau Rd	open
Velt Deli & Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	144 Nassau Rd	open
Commercial Deli & Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	261 Nassau Rd	closed
So Good Deli & Grocery Inc.	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	425 Nassau Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	—	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	1	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	1	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	13	1	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	17	3	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	19	2	15	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	18	16	2	12	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	2	15	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	21	19	3	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	15	3	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	18	—	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	18	—	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	17	3	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	18	—	14	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	16	—	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11575. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11553	1.8 mi	54	2023
11566	1.9 mi	91	2023
11520	2.1 mi	104	2023
11550	2.4 mi	104	2023
11510	2.4 mi	57	2023
11710	2.7 mi	93	2023
11556	2.7 mi	3	2018
11549	2.8 mi	1	2011
11570	3.0 mi	108	2023
11554	3.1 mi	85	2023
11552	3.7 mi	51	2023
11530	4.2 mi	120	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.