BMIE Market 11726

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,455 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,097 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,940 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±390 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,857 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,355 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$128,425 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,155 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±155 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$481,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11726
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+15.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+105.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 34–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11726. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.4	85	40%	+34.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.0	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	48.2	48	25%	+12.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,455	83	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	128,425	93	40%	+37.0
Households (ACS)	5,940	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	15.6	59	35%	+20.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.3	45	25%	+11.3
Population (ACS)	21,455	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	128,425	93	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	15.6	59	30%	+17.7
20-year restaurant growth	23.3	48	20%	+9.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (90)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 26 · American 11 · Bakery 11 · Pizza 8 · Latin American (other) 7 · Coffee 6 · Italian 6 · Caribbean 5 · Dessert 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · German / Eastern European 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Thai 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Seafood 2 · Indian 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 34 · Specialty food shop 24 · Bakery 12 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Brothers Vegan Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	1038 Montauk Hwy	open
A&V DELI	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2190 Great Neck Rd	open
Albert's Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1642 Great Neck Rd	open
Alessia's Pizza & Pasta (formerly Caffe Catania)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1051 Montauk Hwy	open
Amigo Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1715 Great Neck Rd	open
Babylon Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1305 S Strong Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	925 Montauk Hwy	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	1115 Montauk Hwy	open
Beach Hut @ Tanner Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Tanner Park	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1201 Sunrise Hwy	open
Cantina bay	Bar	American	398 Baylawn Ave	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1075 Montauk Hwy	open
Cent'Anni Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1285 Montauk Hwy	open
Champs Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	628 Oak St # 3217	open
Chef Ronda's Bar & Grill	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		1111 Leroy Place	open
Cisneros Family Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1985 Great Neck Rd	open
Colombia Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1635 Great Neck Rd	open
Copiague Bagel & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1026 Montauk Hwy	open
Copuague Christian Church	Café		250 Pinelawn Ave	open
Cousin Craig's Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		80 Montauk Hwy	open
D&D Bakery Shoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	946 Montauk Hwy	open
Deli Design	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5 Bethpage Rd	open
Delicias Latinas Bakery and Restaurant	Bakery	Latin American (other) · Bakery	1700 Great Neck Rd	open
Demi's Spot	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	415 Ralph Ave	open
Dixon Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	670 Dixon Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1708 Sunrise Hwy	open
El Paso Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Sandwiches	990 Montauk Hwy	open
Euro Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	1650 Great Neck Rd	open
Fratellis Italian Gourmet Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	94 Montauk Hwy	open
Gabila's Knishes	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	100 Wartburg Ave #2919	open
Golden Pine Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches · American	2580 Great Neck Rd	open
Grilled Cheese Society - Unpublished	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	1026 Montauk Hwy	open
Hershey's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1648 Great Neck Rd	open
Hispano American Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Latin American (other) · Pizza · Italian · American	1038 Montauk Hwy	open
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	98 Montauk Hwy	open
Ikln Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1985 Great Neck Rd Unit A	open
J and G Deli Meat Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	900 Great Neck Rd	open
Jamaica Sunrise Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1195 Sunrise Hwy	open
Jamaican Paradise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1708 Sunrise Hwy	open
Jamrock Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1708 Sunrise Hwy	open
Jason Deli Jason's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	1180 Sunrise Hwy	open
Joe's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	88 Montauk Hwy	open
Kabanos Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	513 Oak St	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1700 Sunrise Hwy	open
Krajana Pork Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · German / Eastern European	515 Oak St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		198 Dixon Avenue	open
Limenos Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Latin American (other)	624 Oak St	open
Long Wall Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1708 Sunrise Hwy	open
Los Chris Dominican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	350 Oak St	open
Mama's of Copiague	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	922 Montauk Hwy	open
Marui	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	852 Montauk Hwy	open
Meson Ole	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1163 Montauk Hwy	open
nakul keattikul	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	852 MONTAUK HWY, UNIT STORE	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		854 Montauk Highway	open
Pecaditos fast food	Quick service	Latin American (other)	381 Oak St	open
Pizza Express Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1195 Sunrise Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1201 Sunrise Hwy, Kings Copiague	open
Polish Crumbs Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · German / Eastern European	1020 Montauk Hwy	open
Przysmak Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1635 Great Neck Rd Ste 4	open
Punjabi Gero and kulfi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		670 Dixon Ave	open
R&J Grocery and Deli	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	1708 Sunrise Hwy	open
Rarytas Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · German / Eastern European	1644 Great Neck Rd	open
Red Lobster Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	801 Sunrise Hwy	open
Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		280 Oak St	open
Reyes Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	80 Montauk Hwy	open
Rincon Guanaco Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	492 Oak St	open
Root + Branch Brewing	Brewery / taproom		360 Marconi Blvd	open
Ruggero’s Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	5 Bethpage Rd	open
Sabor Latino rd deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Latin American (other) · Sandwiches	1273 Sunrise Hwy	open
Schwartz’s Bagels & Backyard Burgers Back Yard Burgers	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Burgers	1395 Montauk Hwy	open
Simply Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	852 Montauk Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1149 Sunrise Hwy	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1700 Sunrise Hwy	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1028 Montauk Hwy	open
Sunrise Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	920 Montauk Hwy	open
Sweet Malina Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1635 Great Neck Rd	open
Take It Away	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Indian	43 William St	open
Tang Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	903 Montauk Hwy	open
Thai Green Leaf	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	47 Montauk Hwy	open
The Mist Lounge	Bar		469 Oak St	open
Thunders Copiague	Bar		117 Kerrigan Rd	open
Vaccaro's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	990 Montauk Hwy	open
Vibes Jamaican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Caribbean	1195 Sunrise Hwy	open
Victoria Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	1729 Great Neck Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	820 Merrick Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1255 Sunrise Hwy	open
Wing It On!	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	854 Montauk Hwy	open
Zagloba Polish Bar & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	German / Eastern European	700 NY-27A	open
Zheung Xing Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1646 Great Neck Rd	open
Rosa Deli Inc.	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	670 Dixon Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	26	23	7	15	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	26	22	6	15	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	24	22	7	13	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	22	20	5	14	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	30	27	7	18	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	31	30	9	20	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	31	30	12	16	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	31	29	13	13	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	28	26	11	12	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	32	30	12	14	4	2	NAICS2002
2008	32	29	9	16	4	3	NAICS2007
2009	34	32	10	18	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	32	30	9	17	4	2	NAICS2007
2011	35	33	11	18	4	2	NAICS2007
2012	33	31	9	18	4	2	NAICS2012
2013	33	32	8	20	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	35	33	9	19	5	2	NAICS2012
2015	35	34	9	19	6	1	NAICS2012
2016	40	38	11	21	6	2	NAICS2012
2017	37	35	7	23	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	38	37	8	24	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	36	34	8	21	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	33	8	20	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	36	10	21	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	38	35	7	21	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	41	37	6	22	9	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11726. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11701	1.1 mi	49	2023
11757	1.3 mi	93	2023
11762	2.7 mi	53	2023
11702	3.0 mi	51	2023
11704	3.1 mi	53	2023
11758	3.7 mi	98	2023
11735	4.2 mi	143	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.