BMIE Market 11753
Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,435 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,037 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,014 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,295 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $175,781 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,624 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,574 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $979,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,918 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11753 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 22.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +18.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 39–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11753. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.9 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.0 | 60 | 35% | +21.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 71.5 | 71 | 25% | +17.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,435 | 74 | 40% | +29.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 175,781 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,943 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.9 | 62 | 35% | +21.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 35.4 | 16 | 25% | +3.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,435 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 175,781 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 37.5 | 87 | 50% | +43.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.9 | 62 | 30% | +18.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 22.2 | 47 | 20% | +9.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (61)
By cuisine
Coffee 13 · Bakery 8 · American 6 · Dessert 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Chinese 4 · Japanese 4 · Sushi 4 · Burgers 3 · Indian 2 · Italian 2 · Korean 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 10 · Café 8 · Dessert 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Handles 16 Handles | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 22 Jericho Tpke | open |
| A&w Restaurants KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 83 Jericho Tpke | open |
| A'latte | Café | Coffee | 99 Cedar Swamp Rd | open |
| Absolutely Italian Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 336 N Broadway | open | |
| Allegro Coffee Company Allegro Coffee Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 429 N Broadway | open |
| Alljb Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Jericho Quadrangle Ste 220 | open | |
| Arby's Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 334 N Broadway | open |
| Au Bon Pain | Bakery | Bakery | 2 Jericho Plz | open |
| Bagel Boss of Jericho Bagel Boss | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 10 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Bagel Doctor | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 289 N Broadway | open |
| Bagels Delivered | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Bakery · Coffee | 50 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Dunkin' | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 81 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Brooklyn Bagel Chips | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 50 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 52 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Cafe Dolce Vita Cafe Dolce Vita | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 495 N Broadway | open |
| Cafe Inn | Café | Coffee | 15 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Carriage House Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 585 N Broadway | open |
| Cold Stone Jericho Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 301 N Broadway | open |
| DD Soup Dumpling & Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Chinese · Sushi · Asian | 111 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Dhaba Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4400 Jericho Tpke | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 336 N Broadway | open |
| Fanatico Italian Bistro and Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 336 N Broadway #10 | open |
| Frank's Rest. Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4 Jericho Tpke | open | |
| Giannos Life | Coffee shop | Coffee | 200 Robbins Ln | open |
| Gong cha Gong Cha | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 311 N Broadway | open |
| Guac Shop Mexican Grill Guac Shop Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 12 Jericho Tpke #A-1 | open |
| Gyrolicious | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 24A Jericho Tpke | open |
| H Noodle House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 336 N Broadway | open |
| Jericho Cider Mill | Winery / distillery / taproom | 213 RT 106, 213 Jericho Oyster Bay Rd | open | |
| Jericho Deli | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches · German / Eastern European · Breakfast | 523 N Broadway | open |
| Jericho Quad Coffee Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 100 Jericho Quadrangle | open | |
| K Town Food Court | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 336 N Broadway Unit 6 | open |
| L'AMI Bakery and Cafe | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Bakery · Coffee | H Mart, 336 N Broadway | open |
| Lisbon Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 399 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Maine Maid Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4 Old Jericho Tpke | open |
| Mamma Felicia Trattoria & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 18 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Market Bistro | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 519 N Broadway | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 105 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Meet Fresh USA 鮮芋仙 Meet Fresh USA 鮮芋仙 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 313 N Broadway | open |
| Mulberry Street Italian Restaurant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 301 N Broadway | open |
| Nagashima Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 12 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Nathan's Famous Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1 Jericho Plz # 2 | open | |
| National Bagel Association | Bakery | Bakery | 425 N Broadway | open |
| Nda Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 18A Jericho Tpke | open | |
| New Jericho Coffee Shop | Coffee shop | Coffee | 100 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Opus Steakhouse | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Mediterranean · Sushi · Seafood · Japanese | 4 Old Jericho Turnpike | open |
| Orient Odyssey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 511 N Broadway | open |
| Philippe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 399 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Real Restaurant Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 519 N Broadway | open | |
| Red Mango | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 336 Broadway | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 475 N Broadway | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 876 Connequot Ave. | open |
| Swirls & Twirls | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 457 N Broadway | open |
| Tap Room Tap Room | Casual dining · Bar | 1 Jericho Tpke | open | |
| The Cotillion The Cotillion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 440 Jericho Tpke | open |
| The Cotillion The Cotillion | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 440 Jericho Tpke | open |
| The Lunchbox | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 1 Jericho Plz | open |
| Vita Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 495 N Broadway | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 90 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Yea's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | INSIDE HMART, 336 N Broadway Unit 6 | open |
| قشطوطة الحسم | Dessert | Dessert | اريحا - مخيم عين السلطان مدخل عيادة الوكالة | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 38 | 36 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 34 | 33 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 39 | 38 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 39 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 37 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 36 | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 43 | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 41 | 36 | 14 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 36 | 30 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 40 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 32 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 32 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 38 | 32 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 37 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 43 | 37 | 13 | 16 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 38 | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 35 | 12 | 11 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 41 | 36 | 15 | 9 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 39 | 34 | 17 | 7 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 38 | 36 | 14 | 9 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 41 | 40 | 19 | 10 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 43 | 40 | 20 | 9 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 47 | 44 | 22 | 9 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |