BMIE Market 11930

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	842 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	327 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,343 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,452 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$123,257 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,861 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	59.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$1,881,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±170,472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11930
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	81.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+77.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11930. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.1	54	40%	+21.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.3	50	35%	+17.6
Market Momentum Score	69.1	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	842	29	40%	+11.7
Median household income (ACS)	123,257	91	40%	+36.5
Households (ACS)	327	29	20%	+5.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	190.0	2	25%	+0.5
Population (ACS)	842	29	20%	+5.8
Median household income (ACS)	123,257	91	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	77.8	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

American 7 · Seafood 5 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amagansett seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	517 Montauk Hwy	open
Astro's Pizza and Felice's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	237 Main St	open
Beach Hut	Quick service		Atlantic Ave	open
Bonfire Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	249 Main St	open
Brent's General Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	8 Montauk Hwy	open
Chin West Architect	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	67 Scrimshaw Ln	open
Clam Bar at Napeague	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	2025 Montauk Hwy	open
Coche Comedor	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	74a Montauk Hwy	open
Cyril's Fish House	Bar		2167 Montauk Hwy	open
D'Canela	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	195 Main St	open
Dive Bar Pizza	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2095 Montauk Hwy	open
Doubles Amagansett	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	12 Amagansett Square Dr	open
Fini Pizza Amagansett	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	237 Main St	open
Goldberg's Famous Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	2101 Montauk Hwy	open
Hampton Chutney Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	12 Amagansett Square Dr	open
Il Buco al Mare Il Buco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Italian	231 Main St	open
Indian Wells Tavern	Bar		Main Street	open
Jack's Stir Brew Coffee Jack's Stir Brew Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	146 Montauk Hwy	open
Kaito Fresh Sushi & Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	511 Montauk Hwy	open
Kings Park Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom			open
La Fondita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas · Mexican	74 Montauk Hwy	open
LUNCH Lobster Roll Amagansett Lobster Roll AKA Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1980 Montauk Hwy	open
Mary's Marvelous	Bakery	Bakery	207 Main St	open
Meeting House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4 Amagansett Square	open
Napeague Stretch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	2095 Montauk Hwy	open
New Best Taste Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	624 Montauk Hwy	open
Organic Krush Kitchen & Eatery organic krush	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian	207 Main St	open
Rincon del Sabor	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	622 Montauk Hwy	open
Rosie's Amagansett	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	195 Main St	open
Rosse Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	622 Montauk Hwy	open
Rowdy Hall	Bar · Casual dining		177 Main St	open
Seafood Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2095 Montauk Hwy	open
Shark Bar Montauk	Bar		2167 Montauk Hwy	open
Sotto Sopra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	231 Main St	open
The Lineup Slice Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		161 Main St	open
Zakura	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	40 Montauk Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	11	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	15	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	17	13	7	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	17	13	6	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	16	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	12	8	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	12	8	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	15	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	10	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	16	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	6	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	16	6	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11930. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11937	4.4 mi	53	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.