BMIE Market 12009

Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,934 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±567 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,082 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,164 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,076 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$120,101 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,285 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$342,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	52.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12009
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12009. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.5	77	40%	+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.5	49	35%	+17.3
Market Momentum Score	67.3	67	25%	+16.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,934	67	40%	+26.9
Median household income (ACS)	120,101	90	40%	+36.1
Households (ACS)	3,082	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	35%	+7.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.7	44	25%	+10.9
Population (ACS)	7,934	67	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	120,101	90	20%	+18.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	30%	+6.0
20-year restaurant growth	133.3	88	20%	+17.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Asian 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Natural Way	Café	Coffee	2568 Western Ave	open
Akanomi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	2568 Western Ave	open
Allied Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		6654 Dunnsville Rd	open
Altamont Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3001 Furbeck Rd	open
Bamboo Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	187 Main St	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	5239 Western Tpke	open
Best Cook Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2568 Western Ave #5	open
Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		609 Western Tpke	open
Candy Kraft Candies	Dessert	Dessert	2575 Western Ave	open
Chariot Restaurant & Banquets	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5180 Western Tpke	open
Chuck Wagon Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	American · Coffee	3935 Western Ave	open
Cider House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6700 Dunnsville Rd	open
Clover Pond Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		100 Acre Wood Ln	open
Clover Pond Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		100 Acre Wood Lane	open
Curry Patta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	187 Main St	open
Duckpond Farms	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches · Bakery	4448 Western Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	6495 NY-158	open
Farmhouse Tap + Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		186 Main St	open
Fuller's Tavern	Bar			open
Indian Ladder Farms Cidery And Brewery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		342 Altamont Rd	open
inntown restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5180 Western Tpke	open
Joe's Township Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1412 Township Rd	open
Main Street Cafe	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery	198 Main St	open
Meadowdale Farm Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		32 Fryer Ln	open
Mio Vino Wine Bar & Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Normandy Sq	open
My Way Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	1412 Township Rd	open
Nidhi Management Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2568 Western Ave	open
On the Hill	Casual dining · Bar		1412 Township Rd	open
Paisano's Pizza Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	187 Main St	open
Pla 2 Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	2568 Western Ave	open
Remarkable Liquids Buffalo	Brewery / taproom · Bar	Chicken / wings	6032 Depot Rd	open
Snowfox Sushi Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	5239 Western Turnpike	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2568 Western Ave Suite 103	open
Tailgate Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		2563 Western Ave	open
The Homefront Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Veronica's Culinary Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	186 Main St	open
Village Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	101 Prospect Terrace	open
Zaab Real Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2568 Western Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	16	8	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	5	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	13	4	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	4	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	14	4	5	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12009. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12085	3.5 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.