BMIE Market 12033

Rensselaer County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,932 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±720 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,537 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±391 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,851 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,283 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,569 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,292 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$288,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,031 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12033
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12033. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.8	73	40%	+29.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.7	60	35%	+20.9
Market Momentum Score	25.4	25	25%	+6.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,932	67	40%	+26.9
Median household income (ACS)	98,569	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	3,537	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	7,932	67	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	98,569	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Bakery 7 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · American 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Crisp Cannoli	Bakery	Bakery	1607 Columbia Tpke	open
Dancing Deer Baking Co	Bakery	Bakery	22 Hamilton Way	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	95 Miller Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1792 Columbia Tpke	open
Emma Handmade By Design	Bakery	Bakery	1872 Brookview Rd	open
Goold Hill Vineyard and Cidery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1297 Brookview Station Rd	open
Goomba's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1570 Columbia Turnpike	open
J&J's Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1607 Columbia Turnpike, 1607 Columbia Turnpike	open
Jiff e Chips Jiff-E-Mart	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	839 Maple Hill Rd	open
Mercato's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1649 Columbia Tpke	open
My Place and Co.	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1640 Columbia Turnpike	open
Peppino's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1685 Route 9	open
Piece of Cake Bakery and Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	1518 Columbia Tpke	open
Pizza Trails	Food truck · Catering	Pizza	1685 US-9	open
Ryan's Famous Pizza & Food Truck	Food truck	Pizza · Italian	1685 US-9	open
Samson's Bar & Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1736 US-9	open
Schodack Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1842 Columbia Tpke	open
Stable Gate Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		10-12 Linda Way	open
Stroumbiana International, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1842 Columbia Tpke	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	995 US Route 9	open
The Cookie Coop	Bakery	Bakery	1155 Van Hoesen Rd	open
The Crisp Cannoli - Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1607 Columbia Tpke	open
The Willow - Cafe & Market	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1851 Route 9	open
THREE GUYS BAKERY PIZZA	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Pizza	1607 Columbia Tpke	open
M Keneston Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1587 Schodack Valley Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	11	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	12	5	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	11	4	4	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	12	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	3	2	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	9	3	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	3	4	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	10	5	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	5	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	8	4	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	4	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	11	6	2	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	5	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12033. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12063	3.9 mi	1	2014
12156	4.2 mi	—
12123	4.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.