BMIE Market 12037

Columbia County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±522 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,839 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±233 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,015 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,106 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,844 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,067 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±104 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$343,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,648 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12037
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	27.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+30.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 10–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12037. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.8	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.6	49	35%	+17.0
Market Momentum Score	32.9	33	25%	+8.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,926	57	40%	+22.6
Median household income (ACS)	89,844	73	40%	+29.2
Households (ACS)	1,839	60	20%	+11.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	35%	+18.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	33.1	17	25%	+4.3
Population (ACS)	3,926	57	20%	+11.3
Median household income (ACS)	89,844	73	20%	+14.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-13.3	16	50%	+8.2
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	30%	+15.8
20-year restaurant growth	18.2	44	20%	+8.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

American 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Quick service 3 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
66 Eatzzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	19 Center St	open
Bengable Savories	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	17 Central Sq	open
Bimi's Canteen & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	19 Main St	open
Blue Plate Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Kinderhook St	open
Blueberry Chill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Burgers	295 State Route 295	open
Chatham Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		59 Main St	open
Chatham Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15 Dardess Dr	open
Chatham Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	34 Hudson Ave #1164	open
Dan's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1005 NY-203	open
Destino	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American · Latin American (other)	1 Church St	open
Donna's Country Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	591 State Route 295	open
Fiesta Cafe	Café	Mexican · Coffee · Breakfast	41 Main St	open
Lagonia's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · European	94 Main St	open
Moon Dog's	Food truck	Burgers · Hot dogs	2309 RT-203	open
Napoli Pizza e Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Main St	open
Nitrous Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	25 Hudson Ave	open
Nonne	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10 Main St	open
Our Daily Bread Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	116 Hudson Ave	open
Pieconic	Other · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	20 Main St	open
Pieconic NY	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert · Breakfast	15 Dardess Dr	open
Piez-I-know	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza		open
Project Associates Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Kinderhook St	open
Rollin Sundaes	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	54 Main St	open
Route 66 Ghent Ny	Café	Coffee		open
Smoking J's BBQ & Catering	Catering	BBQ · American	14 Church St	open
Stonykill Coffee & Records	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	36 Main St	open
Sundog Cider	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		343 NY-295	open
The Gluten Free Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	54 Main St	open
The Gluten Free Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	90 Hudson Ave	open
The Greenhouse Cidery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		2309 NY-203	open
The People's Pub The Penny Black Tamworth	Casual dining · Bar	American	36 Main St	open
The Taste Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	17 Main Street	open
Toast Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	41 Main St	open
Yianni's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	29 Hudson Ave	open
Chatham Cafe & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		41 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	7	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	7	2	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	11	7	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	18	14	9	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	15	12	8	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	12	5	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	8	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	8	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	14	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	12	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	15	12	5	5	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	18	15	7	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	15	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	12	6	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	15	9	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	15	11	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	13	10	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	11	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12037. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12165	3.4 mi	1	2016
12075	4.5 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.