BMIE Market 12083

Greene County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,844 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±597 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±197 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,795 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,839 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,537 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,970 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$932 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$308,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,367 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	43.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12083
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12083. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.0	60	40%	+24.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.0	41	35%	+14.3
Market Momentum Score	41.1	41	25%	+10.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,844	56	40%	+22.5
Median household income (ACS)	83,537	66	40%	+26.5
Households (ACS)	1,378	55	20%	+11.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.2	42	25%	+10.5
Population (ACS)	3,844	56	20%	+11.3
Median household income (ACS)	83,537	66	20%	+13.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 5 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Dessert 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Bar 3 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Twisted Ladies	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11148 State Route 32	open
China Wok Restaurant, Greenville, NY 12083	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	11573 State Route 32	open
D & C Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11 Garland Ln	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	11501 Route 32	open
EATS SPOT	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11573 State Route 32	open
Green Hill Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5915 Route 81	open
Greenville Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11 Garland Ln	open
Hollowbrook Inn & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza	10616 State Route 32	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11148 Route 32 Unit 6	open
Life By Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	11135 NY-32	open
Lil' Piece BBQ and Catering	Catering · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	3822 County Rte 26	open
Mcnerney's Brass rail	Bar · Casual dining		260 N Rd	open
Mountain View Brasserie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10697 rte. 32	open
Nocturne Bakehouse	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2 Jennings Rd	open
Rainbow Lodge & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3807 County Route 26	open
Scoopsville	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11148 State Route 32	open
The Sweet Spot Eatery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4847 NY-81	open
The Tasting Lab	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4856 Route 81	open
Tiny Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4868 NY-81	open
Tommy's	Food truck · Quick service	Hot dogs	11061 State Route 32	open
Vince Anna's Restaurant (Reservations Required)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	160 Creamery Rd	open
Wright Cellars	Bakery	Bakery	298 Sunset Rd	open
Hop Barn Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		94 Maple Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	8	5	5	—	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	7	4	4	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	8	5	3	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	9	6	3	1	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	7	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	7	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	8	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	8	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	9	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	9	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	12	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	10	6	2	2	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	11	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12083. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12176	4.2 mi	—
12431	4.3 mi	4	2020

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.