BMIE Market 12090

Rensselaer County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,482 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,238 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,262 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,803 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,412 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$856 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$173,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,062 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	57.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12090
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12090. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.9	55	40%	+21.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.2	55	35%	+19.3
Market Momentum Score	73.8	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,482	62	40%	+24.8
Median household income (ACS)	68,056	44	40%	+17.6
Households (ACS)	2,238	63	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.2	42	25%	+10.5
Population (ACS)	5,482	62	20%	+12.4
Median household income (ACS)	68,056	44	20%	+8.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bianca's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21200 State Route 22	open
Bistro 42	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	42 Classic St	open
BYTE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	15 John St	open
Church Street Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	41 Church St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	4744 NY-7	open
Fall's Diner	Dessert · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · American · Breakfast	21418 State Route 22	open
Great Wall Chinese Restaurant Great Wall Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	61 Church St	open
Guiseppe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza · American	3680 NY-7	open
Hoosick Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	204 Main St	open
Howk House Coffee LLC	Coffee shop	Coffee	5343 NY-7	open
Iron Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9 Main St	open
Jean's Place	Casual dining	American	4723 NY-67	open
Lorpat Pizza Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21200 State Route 22	open
Man of Kent Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		4452 NY-7	open
McDonald's	Quick service		21451 Route 22	open
MF Smokey BBQ	Catering	BBQ · American	65 Tory Hill Rd #5003	open
Nicholas Donuts, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4744 State Route 7	open
Passion Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		21993 RT-22	open
Pizza Bella	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	17 Main St	open
Sal’s Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		24 Classic St	open
Sand Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		21 Lyman St	open
Scoops by the Dozen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5527 NY-7	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4744 State Route 7	open
Sumo’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	2 Center St	open
Tammy's Candy Kettle	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	5154 NY-7	open
The Baker's Dozen The Baker's Dozen	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	15 Church St	open
The Polish Hall	Bar		12 Mechanic St	open
The Shack At Jacks	Food truck · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	5103 NY-7	open
Village Pizzeria and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	53 Elm St	open
Walloomsac Battlefield Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4938 NY-67	open
Why Not Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		5152 State Route 7	open
Willhy Farms	Bakery	Bakery	23 Classic St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	11	10	6	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	6	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	13	8	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	8	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	5	3	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	5	1	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	4	2	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	4	2	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	9	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	8	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12090. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.