BMIE Market 12095

Fulton County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,391 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±548 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,213 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,606 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,441 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,942 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$923 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$168,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,545 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12095
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+4.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+8.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 25–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12095. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.9	63	40%	+25.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.9	50	35%	+17.5
Market Momentum Score	31.8	32	25%	+8.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,391	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	69,469	46	40%	+18.4
Households (ACS)	5,213	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	4	49	35%	+17.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.0	35	25%	+8.7
Population (ACS)	12,391	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	69,469	46	20%	+9.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-13.3	16	50%	+8.2
10-year restaurant growth	4	49	30%	+14.7
20-year restaurant growth	18.2	44	20%	+8.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (59)

By cuisine

American 16 · Coffee 9 · Sandwiches 6 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Hot dogs 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 11 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Bakery 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
308 Prime	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	308 N Comrie Ave	open
7 Brew Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	220 North Comrie Ave	open
94 Celcius	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	223 N. Comrie Ave.	open
Chaabani's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Mediterranean · Sandwiches · Middle Eastern	34 W Main St	open
Cheers Cheers	Bar · Casual dining		101 Water St	open
Citybuzz Connects	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28 E Main St	open
Curtain Call Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	12 W Main St	open
Dan's Porch Bar & Grill	Bar	American	S Market St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	209 N Comrie Ave	open
Far East Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		215 N Comrie Ave	open
Flower Pot Cafe	Café	Coffee	2348 State Highway 30A	open
Forever Young	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Main St.	open
Friendly's Friendly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	248 N Comrie Ave	open
Frosteez 40 Below Foodz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		453 NY-334	open
Gialil Foods Of Greenwhich Village, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4 Wells St	open
Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	285 N Comrie Ave	open
Granny's Ice Cream Shanty	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · Dessert	4948 NY-29	open
Gulf Deli & Hot Food	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	100 S Comrie Ave	open
Hometown Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	9 S Melcher St	open
Hot Dog Hut Cafe	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	4 E Main St	open
Jen's Corner Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	500 N Market St	open
Johnstown Peking Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	50 E Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	144 North Comrie Avenue	open
La Palma Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	22 N Market St	open
Linda S Joseph Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 W Main St	open
Market Street Pizza Market Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6 S Market St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	220 North Comrie Ave	open
Midway Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		531 N Perry St	open
Miss Johnstown Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	28 1/2 E Main St	open
O'Connor's	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1 N Perry St	open
Outlet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2401 State Highway 10	open
Partner's Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	21 S William St	open
Patricia's	Bar · Casual dining		32 S Perry St	open
Pet's Snack Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	51 E Main St	open
Pino's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	326 W Clinton St Apt 1	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	Rte 30A Johnstown Mall	open
Ponderosa Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	287 N Comrie Ave	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	252 N Comrie Ave	open
Railside Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	454 N Perry St	open
Rogers' Cideryard	Bar · Casual dining		260 Co Rd 131	open
Romana's Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	219 N Comrie Ave	open
Royal Mountain Inn Family Restaurant And Bar	Bar		4993 State Highway 29	open
Sam's Seafood Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	281 N Comrie Ave	open
Second Wind Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	132 W Main St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	291 N Comrie Ave	open
Summer's Best Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	24 Briggs St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	207 N Comrie Ave	open
The Blessed Table	Catering	Burgers · BBQ		open
The Plaid Giraffe	Bakery	Bakery	34 W Main St	open
Top of the Hill Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4700 State Highway 29	open
Udderly Delicious	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · Dessert	340 N Comrie Ave	open
Union Hall Inn Restaurant and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	2 Union Pl	open
Vice	Bar		32 S Perry St	open
Vince's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	118 W Main St	open
Vintage Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	21 W Main St	open
Wemple & Edick's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	453 NY-334	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	140 North Comrie Avenue	open
Whitey's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	204 N Perry St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	24	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	27	25	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	24	22	12	6	4	2	NAICS1997
1999	22	19	11	4	4	3	NAICS1997
2000	20	17	11	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	24	21	16	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	24	18	12	5	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	26	22	13	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	28	24	15	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	31	28	16	9	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	25	24	16	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	28	26	12	12	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	29	26	14	10	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	27	24	12	10	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	29	27	15	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	28	26	12	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	28	25	13	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	28	25	12	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	29	26	11	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	33	29	12	14	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	28	25	12	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	31	28	14	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	30	15	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	28	13	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	27	12	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	27	12	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	28	15	8	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	26	14	7	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12095. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.