BMIE Market 12134

Hamilton County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,846 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±350 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,705 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±142 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,516 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,922 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,928 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,653 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$891 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$222,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,829 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	189.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12134
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	37.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12134. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.9	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	33.5	33	35%	+11.7
Market Momentum Score	26.0	26	25%	+6.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,846	56	40%	+22.5
Median household income (ACS)	77,928	59	40%	+23.7
Households (ACS)	1,705	58	20%	+11.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	31.2	19	25%	+4.7
Population (ACS)	3,846	56	20%	+11.3
Median household income (ACS)	77,928	59	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	50%	+10.2
10-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Buffet 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ADK Blend	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	131 S Main St	open
Alpine Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	920 NY-30	open
Cree-Mee Freeze	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	148 Northville Rd	open
Cristiano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	662 NY-30	open
Dave's Boneyard	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	88 Johnson Rd	open
Dragon City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	112 S Main St	open
Four Corners Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	74 Northville-Edinburg Rd	open
Hope Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	829 New York 30	open
I Go Inn	Bar	American	241 S Shore Rd	open
Jay's Village Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	172 S Main St	open
Klippel's Kozy Korner Cafe	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	221 Bridge St	open
Lulu's Bar & Bistro	Café	Coffee	641 Bridge St	open
Old Country Buffet	Buffet		930 S Shore Rd	open
Ridge Road Chicken Barn	Food truck		130 Ridge Rd	open
South Shore Dive	Bar	American	762 S Shore Rd	open
Sport Island Pub and Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining		108 Riverside Dr	open
The Alpine	Bar	American · Steakhouse		open
The Local Dining and Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	132 S Main St	open
The Local Five And Dine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	132 S Main St	open
Timeless Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		162 S Main St	open
Vic's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		223 County Hwy 152	open
Village Scoop Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	142 S Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	8	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	9	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	9	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	9	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	14	6	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12134. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.