BMIE Market 12143

Albany County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,664 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,137 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,282 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$95,101 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,913 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,150 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±200 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$234,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,073 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12143
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12143. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.7	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.5	63	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	55.7	56	25%	+13.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,664	62	40%	+25.0
Median household income (ACS)	95,101	78	40%	+31.0
Households (ACS)	2,326	63	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.7	44	25%	+10.9
Population (ACS)	5,664	62	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	95,101	78	20%	+15.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 3 · Pizza 3 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	Faith Plaza Rt 9W	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2450 US-9W	open
Halfway House Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	26 Main St	open
Irwin And Sons Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2381 US Route 9W	open
Marco's Diner	Casual dining	American	2480 US-9W	open
Rail To River Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		109 Main St	open
Ravena Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	Faith Plaza	open
Silver Spoon Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	11 Madison Ave	open
Smokin' Pig Deli & Bakery	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	BBQ · Sandwiches · Bakery	16 W Shore St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2500 Rt 9 W	open
Szechuan Empire	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	146 Main St	open
The Village Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2381 US Route 9W	open
Trackside Pizza & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1 Railroad Ave	open
wine & liquor	Winery / distillery / taproom		2546 US Route 9W	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	7	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	7	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	3	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	3	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12143. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12045	2.5 mi	1	2011
12161	2.9 mi	—
12158	3.2 mi	3	2023
12046	4.0 mi	—
12124	4.1 mi	1	2008
12007	4.8 mi	1	2006
12087	4.8 mi	1	2001
12156	4.9 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.