BMIE Market 12192

Greene County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,722 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	771 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$106,213 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$283,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64,832 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12192
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	58.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+266.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12192. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.2	54	40%	+21.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.2	51	35%	+17.9
Market Momentum Score	76.2	76	25%	+19.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,077	33	40%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	106,213	85	40%	+33.9
Households (ACS)	458	35	20%	+7.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	102.1	4	25%	+1.0
Population (ACS)	1,077	33	20%	+6.7
Median household income (ACS)	106,213	85	20%	+16.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bakery 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Touch of Class Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	11824 US-9W	open
Chrissy & Tim's Diner	Casual dining	American	11830 State Route 9W	open
De Angelis Usa Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25 Vermilyea Ln	open
Dragon Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	11824 US-9W	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	12165 US-9W	open
Greater Things Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	10 Hope Plz	open
Lick's I Scream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11780 US-9W	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	12187 US-9W	open
Paul's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	11824 State Route 9W	open
Reds Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	12005 US-9W	open
Simone's Kitchen 🦉	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	18 Hope Plz	open
Sogo Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	20 Hope Plaza	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	14 Hope Plz	open
The Crazy Box Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	12400 US-9W	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	1	3	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	3	2	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	3	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12192. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12173	3.6 mi	1	2016
12124	3.8 mi	1	2008
12051	3.8 mi	7	2023
12087	4.1 mi	1	2001
12042	4.5 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.