BMIE Market 12413

Greene County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±514 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,457 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±275 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,948 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,658 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,363 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,035 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±526 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$232,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,508 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12413
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	40.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12413. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.8	45	40%	+17.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.9	48	35%	+16.8
Market Momentum Score	79.6	80	25%	+19.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,368	54	40%	+21.6
Median household income (ACS)	60,363	30	40%	+12.1
Households (ACS)	1,457	56	20%	+11.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	38.6	14	25%	+3.5
Population (ACS)	3,368	54	20%	+10.8
Median household income (ACS)	60,363	30	20%	+6.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	85.7	94	50%	+47.1
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	30%	+23.6
20-year restaurant growth	18.2	44	20%	+8.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Bakery 6 · American 5 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 TWISTED LADIES	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	618 Main St	open
Angel's Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Mexican · American	4318 NY-23	open
Best Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	247 Main St	open
Cozy Cup	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies · American	538 Main St	open
Dalton’s Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7555 Route 32	open
Dawn's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	687 NY-145	open
Delightful Bites by Nina	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	597 Main St	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	281 Main St	open
Frank's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	247 Main St	open
Fried Ride Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	American	17 John St	open
Lynch's Pot O' Gold Restaurant & Campground	Casual dining · Bar		373 Old RT-23	open
Mateo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	247 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7621 Ny-32	open
Mike's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6298 NY-32	open
Old Factory Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		628 Main St	open
Red Rooster Bar & Grill Red Rooster Monterrey	Casual dining · Bar	American	845 Main St	open
Red Star Cafe & Bakery	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	526 Main St	open
Roosterdoodles Cafe & Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	451 Main St	open
See and Be	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	466 main street	open
Storybrook Hollow	Brewery / taproom		194 NY-145	open
The G Spot LLC	Bar	Spanish / tapas	273 Main St	open
Two Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	55 Co Rd 84	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	14	12	8	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	6	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	14	3	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12413. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12470	3.1 mi	1	2012
12473	3.3 mi	1	2016
12431	3.7 mi	4	2020
12405	3.9 mi	1	2014
12451	4.0 mi	4	2023
12482	4.5 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.