BMIE Market 12414

Greene County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,169 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,304 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,510 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,404 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,036 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,979 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,060 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$247,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,718 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	62.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12414
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	27.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+65.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+40.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	43 (range 39–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12414. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.6	64	40%	+25.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.9	50	35%	+17.5
Market Momentum Score	67.9	68	25%	+17.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,169	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	73,036	52	40%	+20.7
Households (ACS)	4,304	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	35%	+21.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	37.4	15	25%	+3.7
Population (ACS)	10,169	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	73,036	52	20%	+10.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.8	70	50%	+34.8
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	30%	+18.6
20-year restaurant growth	65.2	73	20%	+14.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (81)

By cuisine

Coffee 15 · American 12 · Italian 8 · Pizza 8 · Asian 5 · Chinese 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Bar 15 · Café 13 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
394 Main	Café	Coffee	394 Main St	open
A&G Texas Weiners	Café	Coffee · Sandwiches · American	325 Main St	open
Ambrosia Diner	Casual dining	American	321 W Bridge St	open
Angel's Latin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	334 Main St	open
Arianny's Casa Grande Mexican Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	601 Main St	open
Atelier Ku-Ki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	391 Main St	open
B&B Lounge B&B Lounge	Bar		5207 NY-32	open
Barnwood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	14 Deer Ln	open
Belle's Cafe Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	387 Main St	open
Beni's Pizza Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	334 Main St Catskill NY	open
Bottle Shop	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		391 Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	241 W Bridge St	open
Cafe Italia	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee		open
Café Joust	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Vegetarian · Juice / smoothies	365 Main St	open
Candlelight 2	Casual dining · Bar	American	4353 NY-32	open
Captain Kidd's Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		251 W Main St	open
Cat'n Around	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Catskill Chocolate Co.	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	473 Main St	open
Catskill Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	430 Main St	open
Char’s Family Diner	Casual dining	American	6298 NY-32	open
Chemistry Wine Bar	Bar		354 Main St	open
Chopstick	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	254 W Bridge St	open
Citiot	Coffee shop	Coffee	404 Main St	open
Cone E Island Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4-6 W Bridge St	open
Creekside Catskill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	160 W Main St	open
Crossroads Brewing Co. - Catskill Taproom	Restaurant (service type not stated)		201 Water St	open
Dock Street	Bar		2 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	213 W Bridge St	open
Fairways Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	27 Brooks Ln	open
Frank Guido's Port of Call	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Italian	7 Main St	open
Fun N' Wheels Amusements Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14 Deer Ln	open
Goodies	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	261 W Bridge St	open
Great Wall Great Wall Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	16 Grandview Ave	open
HiLo	Café	Coffee	365 Main St	open
J & J Smokehouse BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	550 Main St	open
Jai Ram Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		48 Grandview Plz	open
Jefferson CAFE	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	159 Jefferson Hts	open
Joey V's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	320 W Bridge St	open
Kaatskill Cider Mill	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4953 NY-32	open
La Casa Latina Mexican and Latin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	1 Brandows Aly	open
La Conca D'oro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	440 Main St	open
Lazaro's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	320 W Bridge St	open
Left Bank Ciders	Bar · Brewery / taproom		150 Water St	open
Lindsay's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	1122 Main St	open
Main Street Station At Mike's Point	Bar		2 Main St	open
Management Advisory Group-ny	Restaurant (service type not stated)		385 Main St	open
Mariners Harbor Project	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	55 Maple Avenue Rte 9w	open
Murphy’s Law Public House	Bar		1147 Main St	open
New Century	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	387 Main St Apt 1	open
New Long River Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	206 W Bridge St	open
New York State Thruway Exit 21	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	705 Main St	open
Paonessa's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	208 Jefferson Hts	open
Penny's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	261 W Bridge St	open
Phōs My Greek American Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · American	353 Main St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	75 Maple Ave	open
Pomodoro's Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	90 Catskill Cmns	open
Puree Arete	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Retriever Roasters	Café	Coffee	394 Main St	open
Rip Van Winkle Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	4545 NY-32	open
Rip Van Winkle Wine, Brew & Beverage Festival	Winery / distillery / taproom		1 Main St	open
Subversive Malting + Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Café · Bar	Coffee	414 Main Street	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	48 Grandview Plaza	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	170 W Bridge Street	open
Tatiana's Italian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	601 Main St	open
Tatiana's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5 Main St	open
The Avalon Lounge	Bar		29 Church St	open
The Juice Branch	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	65 W Bridge St	open
The Salad Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	374 Main St	open
Vesuvio Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1125 State Route 23	open
Village Pizza II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	416 Main St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	30 Catskill Cmns	open
Wasana's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	336 Main St	open
Wendy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	75 Maple Ave	open
West Bridge Tea and Art, LLC	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	25 W Bridge St	open
Willa's	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	111 Water St	open
Zac Restaurant Management Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		160 W Main St	open
‘Caccia!	Other	Sandwiches	23 Church St	open
Artis On The Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	601 Main St	closed
Hide Away Inn	Bar		99 High Hill Rd	closed
New York Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	353 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	31	27	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	29	25	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	29	23	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	31	26	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	31	26	16	6	4	4	NAICS1997
1999	30	26	16	6	4	3	NAICS1997
2000	28	24	14	7	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	28	23	14	6	3	3	NAICS1997
2002	30	28	18	7	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	25	23	13	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	28	25	13	8	4	3	NAICS2002
2005	28	26	15	8	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	29	27	16	8	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	33	32	17	11	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	34	31	19	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	31	28	16	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	32	29	17	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	36	33	19	11	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	31	28	15	11	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	36	32	18	12	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	32	28	15	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	31	28	15	11	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	33	30	14	13	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	38	32	17	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	39	34	19	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	35	32	19	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	34	22	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	37	21	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	40	38	21	12	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	42	38	18	14	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12414. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12482	2.8 mi	2	2016
12451	5.0 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.