BMIE Market 12496

Greene County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,164 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±240 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	540 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±101 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,634 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,198 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,286 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,586 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$794 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±160 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$314,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60,104 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	43.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12496
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	79.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+77.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	33 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12496. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	32.8	33	40%	+13.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.3	36	35%	+12.7
Market Momentum Score	42.9	43	25%	+10.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,164	35	40%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	59,286	28	40%	+11.4
Households (ACS)	540	38	20%	+7.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	137.5	3	25%	+0.7
Population (ACS)	1,164	35	20%	+6.9
Median household income (ACS)	59,286	28	20%	+5.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.9	22	50%	+11.0
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	30%	+19.7
20-year restaurant growth	45.5	61	20%	+12.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · British / Irish pub food 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · European 2 · French 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 12 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Buffet 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Babblers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café · Bar	Coffee	Thompson House, 19 Route 296	open
Bistro Brie & Bordeaux	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · French · American	5386 State Route 23	open
Brandywine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Burgers · European	11157 NY-23	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11 Vets Rd	open
Catskill Mountain Country Store - Windham	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	5510 State Route 23	open
Catskillette	Food truck	Breakfast · French	5369 Route 23	open
Cave Mountain Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		5359 State Route 23	open
Chalet Fondue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	55 State Route 296	open
Chicken Run Family Restaurant and Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5639 State Route 23	open
Clutch and Throttle Cookies	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	5383 Main St	open
Dandies Catskills	Bar · Coffee shop	BBQ · Coffee	5088 Route 23	open
Desgaches And Associates, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5386 State Route 23	open
Frankovich's Cat Trails Tavern	Casual dining · Bar			open
Higher Grounds Coffee Co.	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	3 South St	open
Jimmy O’Connor’s Windham Mtn. Inn	Bar	British / Irish pub food	141 South St	open
La Patisserie Normande	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5339 State Route 23	open
Legends Bar & Grill	Bar		Windham Resort	open
Lilly's Steaks and Cocktails	Bar	Steakhouse · American	5335 NY-23	open
Messina's LaGriglia Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5658 NY-23	open
Millrock Restaurant & Bar Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	5398 NY-23	open
Mountain Express	Buffet		36 County Route 12	open
Mountain King Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5351 Main St	open
Mulligans Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	36 County Route 12	open
Neapolis Pizzaria And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5330 State Route 23	open
Nunzio's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	55 state route NY-296	open
Nzm Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5339 State Route 23	open
Prominence restaurant and bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · Italian	55 NY-296	open
Qin-Fang Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5448 NY-23	open
Real Maine Lobster Bake Windham, NY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	11 Vets Rd	open
Taphouse Grille Windham	Casual dining · Bar		5359 NY-23	open
Tavern 23	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5220 State Route 23	open
The Lodge	Bar		5098 State Route 23	open
The Tipp Tavern	Bar	British / Irish pub food	5330 NY-23	open
The Windham Local	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	5410 NY-23	open
This OR That Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		128 1/ 2 South St	open
Todaro's Salumeria	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5344 State Route 23	open
Waffle Cabin	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Dessert · Coffee	37 Pond Ln	open
Windham Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5339 NY-23	open
Windham New York Farmers Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5399 Route 23	open
Windham Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5339 NY-23	open
Windham Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		11 Mt View Estates Rd	open
Ze Windham Wine Bar	Bar		5369 State Route 23	open
The Thompson House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19 Route 296	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	8	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	9	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	9	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	9	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	7	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	9	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	8	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	8	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	9	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	11	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	10	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	12	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	10	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	10	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	10	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	10	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	12	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	17	15	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	16	14	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	15	13	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	16	14	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	12	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	16	14	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12496. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12422	4.7 mi	1	2012

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.