BMIE Market 12528

Ulster County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±689 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,875 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±458 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,344 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,454 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,462 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,724 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,559 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$366,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,526 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	44.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12528
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+45.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+81.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 23–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12528. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.7	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.0	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	64.6	65	25%	+16.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,827	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	92,462	76	40%	+30.2
Households (ACS)	5,875	77	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.4	52	35%	+18.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.0	35	25%	+8.7
Population (ACS)	13,827	75	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	92,462	76	20%	+15.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16	74	50%	+37.0
10-year restaurant growth	7.4	52	30%	+15.5
20-year restaurant growth	45	61	20%	+12.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

American 12 · Italian 11 · Sandwiches 7 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Burgers 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Filipino 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 11 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alons Uzbek Halal Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher	3650 US-9W	open
Bad Seed Farm Bar	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		43 Baileys Gap Rd	open
Bagels & Bites	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast	3497 US Highway 9W	open
Bella's Home-Baked Goods	Bakery	Bakery	216 State Route 299	open
Blimpie	Quick service		491 State Route 299	open
Brennie's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	86 Vineyard Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	56 Milton Ave	open
Cake Artist Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	199 NY-299	open
Carey House Cider & Brew Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5 Wellington Pl	open
Charleighs Saloon	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		180 Vineyard Ave	open
China Garden Of Highland Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	88 Vineyard Ave	open
Coppola's La Fantasia Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3581 US Highway 9W	open
Cucina De Calderone	Bakery · Catering	Bakery · Italian		open
Dolce Caffé & Pizzeria	Café	Pizza · Italian · Coffee	591 US-44	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3668 Rt 9 W Bridgeview Plaza	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	3600 US Highway 9W	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	491 State Route 299	open
El Paso Paso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	78 Vineyard Ave	open
FOXX Pools by Charles Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3671 US-9W	open
Friend's Corner Tea & Snack Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Main St	open
FRIENDS CORNER TEA AND SNACK BAR	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea	6 Mae Ln	open
Frozen Caboose Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6 Haviland Rd	open
Gateway Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3579 US Highway 9W	open
Hapág Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino	58 Vineyard Ave	open
Hard Roll Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	566 NY-299	open
Henneberry Reserve	Bar			open
Highland Rest 3551, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3582 US Highway 9W	open
Hudson Ale Works	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		17 Milton Ave	open
Hudson Landing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	33 Roxanne Blvd	open
Knaus Wine Bar And Gallery	Bar		76 Vineyard Ave	open
La Cucina Rosalie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 MERLOT Dr	open
Locox	Casual dining · Bar	Spanish / tapas	3353 Rte 9W	open
Luigi's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	199 NY-299	open
Mad Batters Pastries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	578 State Rte 55 Unit B	open
Main Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3650 US-9W	open
Mariner's Harbor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	46 River Rd	open
Marks Hotdogs	Quick service · Food truck	Hot dogs	Route 299	open
McDonald's	Quick service		650 Us Hwy 9W	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	650 Us Hwy 9w	open
Mercurial Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	87 Haviland Rd	open
Mvm Gas Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3600 US Highway 9W	open
On A Roll Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	3551 US Highway 9W	open
Pancake Hollow Sugarworks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		19 Milton Ave	open
Pizza Mia	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	3650 US Highway 9W	open
Pomodoro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6 Haviland Rd	open
Rustica Cucina Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	500 Crescent Ave	open
S&j Pizza Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	56 Vineyard Ave	open
Sal's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	99 Vineyard Ave	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3600 US Highway 9W	open
Tacos Tortas Quesadillas Guerrero Food Truck Highland	Food truck	Mexican	3448 US-9W	open
The Bakers Tale	Bakery	Bakery	578 State Rte 55	open
The Motörhead Lounge	Bar		14 Woodside Pl	open
The Real 3 Guys Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	3590 Rte 9W	open
The Ridge by Mill House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	387 South St	open
Town Crier Beacon, NY	Bar			open
Underground Coffee & Ales	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	74 Vineyard Ave	open
Vigneto Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	80 Vineyard Ave	open
Wagon Wheels Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	3743 US Highway 9W	open
Weller’s dogs & barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Hot dogs	#770	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	16	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	19	14	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	20	15	6	7	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	21	16	6	8	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	22	17	8	7	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	24	19	7	10	2	4	NAICS1997
2002	25	18	8	9	1	6	NAICS1997
2003	26	20	9	9	1	5	NAICS2002
2004	26	20	9	9	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	28	22	8	11	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	26	20	8	9	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	26	21	8	9	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	25	21	9	8	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	26	22	8	10	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	31	25	12	10	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	30	24	10	12	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	31	26	11	14	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	31	27	11	14	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	31	28	11	15	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	33	30	10	17	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	30	26	10	14	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	28	24	9	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	25	9	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	28	11	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	28	12	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	26	12	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	26	10	12	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	29	11	14	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12528. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12547	3.7 mi	5	2023
12515	4.3 mi	1	2014
12601	4.4 mi	134	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.