BMIE Market 12533

Dutchess County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,325 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±961 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,119 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±405 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,307 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,222 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$141,585 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,673 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,781 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$478,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,913 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	48.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12533
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+13.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-2.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+104.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	41 (range 35–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12533. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.5	90	40%	+35.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.7	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	52.3	52	25%	+13.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,325	87	40%	+34.8
Median household income (ACS)	141,585	95	40%	+38.0
Households (ACS)	9,119	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-2.3	22	35%	+7.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.7	50	25%	+12.5
Population (ACS)	27,325	87	20%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	141,585	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	13.2	71	50%	+35.6
10-year restaurant growth	-2.3	22	30%	+6.7
20-year restaurant growth	26.5	50	20%	+10.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (82)

By cuisine

Italian 17 · Pizza 15 · Coffee 12 · Sandwiches 12 · Dessert 10 · American 8 · Bakery 8 · Chinese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Quick service 17 · Bar 16 · Bakery 13 · Specialty food shop 12 · Dessert 11 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Catering 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anthony's Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	799 Route 82	open
Big Dogs Pub	Bar		817 Beekman Rd	open
Bistro 52	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2659 NY-52, 2659 Route 52	open
Blessed Brew	Brewery / taproom · Bar		9 Fishkill Farm Rd Suite #2	open
Blue Fountain Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean · European	826 State Route 376	open
Cafe Cebu 1023	Café · Quick service	American · Coffee	2070 RT-52	open
Carlo's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2003 New York 52	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	800 D Route 82	open
Casa Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2529 NEW YORK 52, 6	open
Coco Bella	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1116 NY-82	open
Daddy O's Restaurant, Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3 Turner St	open
Dave's Global Kitchen and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Food truck · Catering	Sandwiches	5 NY-376	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	807 Route 82	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1600 Route 82	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2593 Route 52 Taconic Plaza	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1495 State Route 52	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1997 Route 52	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	900 State Route 376 Ste A	open
Dutchess County Oven & Mixer Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	399 RT-82	open
East Fishkill Provisions Catering Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	17 Route 376	open
East Fishkill Provisions Smoke Haus & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches · BBQ	567 Old Hopewell Rd	open
El Jalapeno Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	807 NY-82	open
Empire Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	817 Beekman Rd Ste G	open
Floridita, la Havana, Cuba	Bar	Latin American (other) · Cuban	Obispo, La Habana, Cuba	open
Francos Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches · Italian	810 NY-82	open
Fratello's Pizza Hopewell Junction	Café	Pizza · Italian · Coffee	2537 NY-52	open
Fresh	Quick service · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Burgers	2003 State Route 52	open
G&R Deli Cafe	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	2003 NY-52	open
Giardino Italiano Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	827 NY-82	open
Golden Jade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	814 NY-82	open
Good Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2429 Route 55	open
Handshakes Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	337 NY-82	open
Happy Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1115 Route 82	open
Healthy Delights	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	822 NY-82	open
Heavenly Garden Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	816 NY-82	open
Hong Kong Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2593 Route 52	open
Hopewell Deli & Juice Bar	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies	410 NY-376	open
Hopewell Hot Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	792 NY-82	open
Hudson Valley Gyro & Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1116 Route 82	open
IPark 84 Food Hub	Bar		2070 RT-52	open
Jane Bakes	Bakery	Bakery	740 East Dr	open
Joe DiMaggio Lodge 2248 Son's of Italy - Italian Festival	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Joe's Dairy Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Dessert · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	550 NY-82	open
Katie Rose Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	107 NY-376 Ste 5	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	413 Route 376	open
La Milpa De Rosa	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Latin American (other)	2070 NY-52	open
Lechambord Restaurant & Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2075 Route 52	open
Little Jozefs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1113 Route 82	open
Mama Angela's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1965 Route 52	open
Mario's Brick Oven Breads Great Bread	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	855 NY-82	open
Mike and Joe's Wood Fire Pizza, Hopewell Jct	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1075 NY-82	open
Monte Rosa Lodge Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	17 Monte Cristo Trl	open
My Oriental Kitchen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2003 Route 52 Ste 4	open
Nick's Brick Oven Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	410 Route 376	open
Patsy's Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza · Burgers	105 NY-376	open
Perk up	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1 Four Corners Blvd	open
Pizza Village Pizza Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	799 NY-82	open
Plated Restaurant	Bar		2425 Route 52	open
Prudential Serls Prime Properties	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	2537 Route 52	open
S & J Deli Superette	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	2593 NY-52	open
Simone's Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	562 Rte 82	open
Sloop Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		755 East Dr	open
Sonnys Restaurant & Pizzera	Bar	Pizza · Italian	1630 Route 82	open
South Brooklyn Boy's Slice Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	562 NY-82	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	800 Route 82, Store No 4	open
Sushi 101	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	2529 NY-52	open
Tempered Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	415 NY-376	open
The Hopewell Inn	Bar · Casual dining		488 NY-376	open
The Turning Point Smoothie Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		851 NY-82	open
Tiramisu Ristorante Pizzeria & Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Bakery	810 NY-82	open
Tokoharu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	415 NY-376	open
Tomi's Bites	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	415 NY-376	open
Tommy's Pizza & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	817 Beekman Rd	open
Treasury Cider	Bar · Casual dining		9 Fishkill Farm Rd	open
Tso's Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1906 New York 52	open
Valley Deli & Catering	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	2429 State Rte 55	open
Villa Nigrelli	Bar	Italian · Pizza	109 Carpenter Rd	open
Vulajio's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	2593 NY-52	open
Carvel Ice Cream Bakery Of Hopewell	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	800 Main St Ste D	closed
Hopewell Photo & Graphics	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 Route 376	closed
Muscoot Restaurant North Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 Carpenter Rd	closed
Shree Lalji Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 Main St Ste B	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	22	21	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	32	31	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	38	37	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	42	37	21	12	4	1	NAICS1997
1999	39	34	19	10	5	1	NAICS1997
2000	39	34	17	12	5	2	NAICS1997
2001	39	34	17	14	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	39	32	15	15	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	40	34	12	19	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	38	31	13	12	6	2	NAICS2002
2005	49	40	15	16	9	2	NAICS2002
2006	49	41	16	15	9	2	NAICS2002
2007	46	39	17	17	5	3	NAICS2002
2008	43	37	18	14	5	2	NAICS2007
2009	46	40	20	16	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	47	41	19	17	5	2	NAICS2007
2011	51	45	19	19	7	2	NAICS2007
2012	50	44	19	17	8	2	NAICS2012
2013	51	44	18	19	7	2	NAICS2012
2014	51	44	18	19	7	2	NAICS2012
2015	42	37	13	17	7	2	NAICS2012
2016	44	38	13	17	8	2	NAICS2012
2017	43	39	13	19	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	43	38	15	20	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	45	40	17	19	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	46	39	18	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	46	40	19	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	46	41	18	16	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	51	43	18	18	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12533. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12582	3.4 mi	3	2021

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.