BMIE Market 12566

Ulster County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,269 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±840 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,753 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,322 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$112,831 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,513 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±347 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$357,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	55.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12566
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 21–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12566. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.5	78	40%	+31.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.3	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	52.1	52	25%	+13.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,269	71	40%	+28.5
Median household income (ACS)	112,831	88	40%	+35.1
Households (ACS)	3,625	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.5	44	25%	+11.0
Population (ACS)	10,269	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	112,831	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Vegetarian 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 9 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All Things Delicious	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Vegetarian · Coffee	61 Main St	open
Antonia's Pizzeria and Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2412 Rte 52	open
Bake, Sprinkle and Rolls	Bakery	Bakery	34 Main St	open
Big Gio’s pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	66 Main St	open
Bistro Du Mexique	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	65 Main St	open
Borderline Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1218 Burlingham Rd	open
Brimstone Hill Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		61 Brimstone Hill Rd	open
Bullville BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1399 State Route 302	open
Cafe Dimanche	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	62 Main St	open
Cat and the Hammer	Bar		85 Depot St	open
Christopher Jacobs Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		320 Crawford St	open
Crosswind Farm Alpacas	Winery / distillery / taproom		262 Gillespie St	open
Culinary Creations	Café	Coffee	52 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	2380 State Route 52	open
DutchBoys Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom · Bar		136 Dubois St	open
Eleanor House at Woodrock	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	108 Sheldon Rd	open
Golden Steer Manor	Restaurant (service type not stated)		66 North St	open
Hira Food Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2412 State Route 52	open
Hometown Ice Cream and Grill	Dessert · Casual dining · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	25 Seybolt Ln	open
Hoot Owl Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	26 Awosting Rd	open
Hops Brewhouse	Bar · Casual dining		2142 NY-52	open
Kiernan's Pub and Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		66 North St	open
Larry's Chinese Restaurant and Bar	Bar	Chinese · Asian	66 North St	open
Liquid Mercantile	Bar		174 Hardenburgh Rd	open
Little Corner Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3 Hamilton Rd	open
Longstreet Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		82 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	Rte 52 West	open
On The Rocks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3984 NY-52	open
One With Land	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Vegetarian	26 Awosting Rd	open
Oriental House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Korean	78 Main St	open
Pairisio Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	72 Main St	open
Pine Bush Asian Bistro Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2412 State Route 52	open
Pine Bush Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2412 NY-52	open
Pine Bush Deli and Pizza	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	70 Boniface Dr	open
Pinebush Diner Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		82 Boniface Dr	open
Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	65 Main St	open
Pure City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	100 Main St	open
Repair Cafe Pine Bush	Café	Coffee	121 State Route 302	open
Rino's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	55 Depot St	open
Sabroso Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	72 Main St	open
Siena's Torteria Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2412 State Route 52	open
Snowfox Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	31 Ted Dr	open
Speakeasy Motors American Whiskey Company	Bar		174 Hardenburgh Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2412 Route 52	open
The Cup and Saucer Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	82 Boniface Dr	open
The French Connection	Dessert	Dessert	72 Main St	open
Thorndale Dairy Bar	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Tosco's Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	143 Maple Ave	open
Tosco's Pizzeria Pine Bush	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	60 Main St	open
Town Hall Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	62 Main St	open
Victory Lane Auto Care	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2391 Route 52	open
Jimmy John's Place	Bar		1441 Burlingham Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	6	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	9	5	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	14	9	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	17	13	6	5	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	15	12	6	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	5	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	6	4	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	8	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	6	5	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	15	13	4	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	18	17	8	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	14	6	4	4	2	NAICS2002
2007	15	14	8	3	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	7	4	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	7	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	17	8	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	18	16	7	6	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	15	13	5	4	4	2	NAICS2012
2013	16	14	6	4	4	2	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	6	3	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	16	7	5	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	6	8	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	20	17	8	6	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	21	18	9	6	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	22	19	10	6	3	3	NAICS2017
2020	20	18	10	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	21	13	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	21	12	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	18	10	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12566. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12722	4.1 mi	1	2016
10985	4.4 mi	1	2004
12420	4.8 mi	1	1998

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.