BMIE Market 12571

Dutchess County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,108 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±447 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,256 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±263 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,918 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,548 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$118,967 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,597 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$431,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,792 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	58.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12571
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	24.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+4.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+160.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 22–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12571. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.8	79	40%	+31.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.7	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	43.1	43	25%	+10.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,108	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	118,967	90	40%	+36.0
Households (ACS)	4,256	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	4	49	35%	+17.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.7	26	25%	+6.4
Population (ACS)	10,108	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	118,967	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.7	24	50%	+11.9
10-year restaurant growth	4	49	30%	+14.7
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

Coffee 16 · American 9 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Asian 4 · Pizza 4 · European 3 · Japanese 3 · BBQ 2 · French 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Café 12 · Bakery 9 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Casual dining 5 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Quick service 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Stone's Throw	Bar		894 River Rd	open
Annabelle's Village Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	7501 N Broadway	open
Bard College Dining Services	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1420 Annandale Rd	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	35 Hannaford Dr	open
BLISS Juice + Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	7501 N Broadway	open
Brigitte Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	61 E Market St	open
Brit Breads	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	854 Jackson Corners Rd	open
Broadway Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7483 S Broadway	open
Bubby's Take Away Kitchen	Delivery-focused	American	19 W Market St	open
Cancun's Family Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7483 S Broadway	open
Cappuccino By Coppola's North	Café	Coffee	4604 Route 9G	open
Charlie O's	Casual dining · Bar	American	23 E Market St	open
Chocolate Factory	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	98 Elizabeth St	open
Cider Bros Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1215 RT-199	open
Cornucopia Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	8038 Albany Post Rd	open
Del's Farmhouse Creamery	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	7775 Albany Post Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1445 Route 199	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	7331 S Broadway	open
DW Sweet Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4 Hidden Hollow Trl	open
Flatiron Restaurant & Bar	Bar	Steakhouse · American	7488 S Broadway	open
From The Ground Brewery	Brewery / taproom		301 Guski Rd	open
Get Juiced Inc	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	8 E Market St	open
Golden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7479 S Broadway	open
Hana Sushi Hana Sushi Abbotsford	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7270 S Broadway	open
Historic Village Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7550 N Broadway	open
Holy Cow	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	7270 S Broadway	open
J&j's Gourmet	Café	Coffee	1 E Market St	open
JB Peel Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	7361 S Broadway	open
Jordan Homestead	Brewery / taproom · Bar		229 Pitcher Ln	open
Kent Butterfly Garden	Bar			open
Lucoli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7476 S Broadway	open
Maggie's RoyalTea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	7460 S Broadway	open
Max's Memphis BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	138 S Broadway	open
Mazi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	7588 N Broadway	open
Me-Oh-My Pie Shop & Café	Café	Coffee	7466 S Broadway	open
Mercato Osteria Enoteca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	61 E Market St	open
Mighty Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	7265 S Broadway	open
Misto Eats - Cafe, Market and Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	7466 S Broadway	open
Papa's Best Batch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	243 Pitcher Ln	open
Red Hook Curry House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	28 E Market St	open
Red Hook Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7329 S Broadway	open
Red Hook Fried Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	35 W Market St	open
Red Hook T's Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7270 S Broadway Ste 4c	open
Roasted Garlic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	7460 S Broadway	open
SABROSO MEXICAN RESTAURANT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7909 Albany Post Rd	open
Salvatore's Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7582 N Broadway	open
Savona's Trattoria Red Hook Savona's Trattoria Kingston	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	7249 S Broadway	open
Savonas Of Red Hook Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7249 S Broadway	open
Schatzi Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		822 Salisbury Turnpike	open
Sidelines	Bar		7909 Albany Post Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7270 S Broadway	open
T & C Hospitality Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7329 S Broadway	open
Taste Budd's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	40 W Market St	open
The Bagel Shoppe	Bakery	Bakery	Rte 199	open
The Bagel Shoppe	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	5 Old Farm Rd	open
The Barn Taproom	Brewery / taproom · Bar		229 Pitcher Ln	open
The Corner Counter	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1 E Market St	open
The Enchanted Cafe	Café	Coffee	7484 S Broadway	open
The Grove, Restaurant & Bar at Red Hook Golf Club	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Casual dining · Bar	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	650 NY-199	open
Thomas Carvel Country Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Ferris Ln	open
Two Boots Hudson Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4604 Route 9G	open
Village Pizza III	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7514 N Broadway	open
Wildflower Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	35 W Market St # 1	open
Yum Yum Noodle Bar Yum Yum Noodle Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · Japanese · Asian	7496 S Broadway	open
Terry's Country Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	46 W Market St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	17	15	10	3	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	14	10	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	17	15	11	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	15	15	12	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	16	16	11	2	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	15	6	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	14	4	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	18	8	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	27	23	12	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	27	24	14	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	24	13	8	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	27	25	13	7	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	25	13	6	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	30	28	16	5	7	—	NAICS2012
2015	31	27	15	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	31	27	14	8	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	34	32	15	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	27	14	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	27	12	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	26	10	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	27	11	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	25	10	10	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	26	10	11	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12571. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.