BMIE Market 12572

Dutchess County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,869 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±430 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,181 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±257 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,123 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,376 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,859 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,009 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,645 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$483,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,876 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	51.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12572
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	34.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+19.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+19.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+32.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+48.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 35–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12572. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.9	73	40%	+29.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.3	54	35%	+19.0
Market Momentum Score	67.7	68	25%	+16.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,869	69	40%	+27.6
Median household income (ACS)	94,859	77	40%	+31.0
Households (ACS)	4,181	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	19.4	62	35%	+21.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	41.7	13	25%	+3.2
Population (ACS)	8,869	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	94,859	77	20%	+15.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	19.4	77	50%	+38.4
10-year restaurant growth	19.4	62	30%	+18.7
20-year restaurant growth	32.1	53	20%	+10.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (75)

By cuisine

American 16 · Coffee 11 · Italian 6 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · European 3 · Bakery 2 · French 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Bar 16 · Café 11 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
6380 Restaurant Associates Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6380 Mill St	open
Aba's Falafel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	54 E Market St	open
ALL THAT JAVA RHINEBECK	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8 Livingston St	open
Arielle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	51 E Market St	open
aroi Thai restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	55 E Market St	open
Art Bar	Bar		6367 Mill St	open
Bangers Gastropub	Casual dining · Bar		22 Garden St	open
Bia	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22 Garden St	open
Bread Alone Bakery Bread Alone Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	45 E Market St	open
Buns Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	20 Garden St	open
C. Cassis	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		108 Salisbury Tpke	open
Calico Rhinebeck	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Sandwiches	6384 Mill St Ste 1	open
Cinnamon Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	51 E Market St	open
Cinnamon Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	51 E Market St	open
CrúClub Winebar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		47 E Market St #2	open
Del’s Roadside - Rhinebeck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6780 Albany Post Road	open
Dnbrealty,llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6367 Mill St	open
Double O Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6595 Route 9	open
Dunkin' Donuts Starbucks	Coffee shop · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	6734 Rte 9	open
Fairgrounds Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	24 Spring Brook Ave	open
Foster's Coach House	Casual dining · Bar		6411 Montgomery St	open
Four Brothers Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3803 NY-9G	open
Francescas Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6795 Route 9	open
Gaby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6423 Montgomery St #7	open
Gary's Dairy & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3226 NY-9G	open
Gigi Hudson Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Italian · European	6422 Montgomery St #1	open
Glc Restaurant Associates Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6422 Montgomery St	open
Golden Russet Cafe & Grocery	Café	Coffee	835 Fiddlers Bridge Rd	open
Grand Cru Beer & Cheese Market	Bar		1094 Route 308	open
Hudson Valley Wine & Food Fest	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Jade Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	6797 Route 9	open
Kita Oliver Fine Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6815 Route 9	open
Krause's Chocolates of Rhinebeck Krause's Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	6423 Montgomery St	open
Le Petit Bistro Le Petit Bistrô	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	2-8 E Market St	open
Liberty Public House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6417 Montgomery St	open
Market St	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	19 W Market St	open
Matchbox Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	6242 Route 9	open
Maya Kaimal Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Momiji Sushi Steakhouse & Bar	Bar	Japanese · Sushi	43 E Market St	open
Monaco & Sons Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31 W Market St	open
Nectar	Café	Coffee	47 E Market St Ste 3	open
Osaka Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	22 Garden St	open
Pete's Famous Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	34 E Market St #1	open
Pizzeria Posto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	43 E Market St	open
Rex Non Verba, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6417 Montgomery St	open
Rhinebeck Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	31 W Market St	open
Rhinebeck Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	112 E Market St	open
Rhinebeck Village Pizza and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	19 E Market St	open
RhineCellar	Bar		47 E Market St	open
Rick	Bar		70 South St	open
Ruby's Farm Stand	Food truck		333 Cedar Heights Rd	open
Samuel's Sweet Shop	Dessert · Café	Coffee · Dessert	42 E Market St	open
Slow Fox Farm Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		41 Lake Dr	open
Smoky Rock BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	6367 Mill St	open
SOL Smoothie Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	41 E Market St	open
Starr Place	Bar		6417 Montgomery St	open
Tea Fresh	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	6384 Mill St	open
Teacup Rhinebeck	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	6387 Mill St	open
Teff	Bar · Quick service	Burgers	6367 Mill St	open
Terrapin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	6426 Montgomery St	open
The Beekman 1766 Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4 Mill St	open
The Kroeg Rhinebeck	Bar · Casual dining		41 E Market St	open
The Local	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	38 W Market St	open
The Shelter	Bar		47 E Market St #2	open
The Tasting Room Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Asian	3767 NY-9G	open
The Tavern at Beekman Arms	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6387 Mill St	open
The Water Oracle	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	41 E Market St	open
Two Brothers Pizza 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6565 Spring Brook Ave	open
Willow at Mirbeau	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	46 W Market St	open
Wunderbar Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	22 Garden St	open
Zen Dog Cafe	Café	Coffee	6367 Mill St	open
Zento	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Burgers		open
{pretty to think so}	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6417 Montgomery St	open
Cj's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	353 Old Post Rd	closed
The Amsterdam	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · American · Coffee	6380 Mill St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	25	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	24	23	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	33	33	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	32	32	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	34	31	18	9	4	—	NAICS1997
1999	33	29	20	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	30	27	19	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	30	27	21	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	29	27	22	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	30	28	23	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	31	28	25	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	29	26	24	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	31	27	23	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	35	32	25	3	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	33	26	21	2	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	36	30	22	4	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	36	31	24	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	38	33	25	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	39	32	23	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	36	31	23	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	39	33	24	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	38	32	23	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	39	32	23	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	36	30	22	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	38	31	23	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	39	32	23	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	41	35	23	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	34	22	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	43	36	24	6	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	44	37	23	8	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12572. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12574	4.2 mi	1	2016
12580	4.3 mi	3	2019

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.