BMIE Market 12701
Sullivan County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,197 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±568 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,160 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±403 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,324 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,521 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $57,222 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,326 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,104 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $203,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 61.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12701 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 36.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +5.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +35.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 43 (range 39–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12701. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 54.4 | 54 | 40% | +21.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 41.2 | 41 | 35% | +14.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 36.5 | 37 | 25% | +9.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,197 | 74 | 40% | +29.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 57,222 | 25 | 40% | +10.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,160 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5 | 50 | 35% | +17.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 34.4 | 16 | 25% | +4.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,197 | 74 | 20% | +14.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 57,222 | 25 | 20% | +5.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2.3 | 25 | 50% | +12.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5 | 50 | 30% | +14.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 20 | 46 | 20% | +9.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (84)
By cuisine
American 20 · Coffee 9 · Italian 8 · Pizza 8 · Chinese 7 · Asian 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Caribbean 4 · Halal / kosher 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Mexican 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albella Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 50 Jefferson St | open |
| Annie's HomeStyle Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 485 Broadway | open |
| Avalon Operations, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 26 Thompson Square Mall | open | |
| Bixby's Derby | Bar | American | 555 Resorts World Dr | open |
| Broadway Pizza Broadway Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 462 Broadway | open |
| Burger King | Quick service | 4349 State Route 42 | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4349 NY-42 | open |
| Captain Cooks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · Sandwiches | 195 E Broadway | open |
| Casa Cava | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 321 E Broadway | open | |
| Cellaio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Italian | 888 Resorts World Dr | open |
| China City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 24 Thompson Square | open |
| China City of America | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 198 Bridgeville Rd | open |
| Chinatown Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 466 Broadway #2 | open |
| Christos Sweet Shop | Dessert · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | Pleasant St | open |
| Ciao Bella | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 46 Forestburgh Rd | open |
| Colosseo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 11 Raceway Rd | open |
| Crown Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 292 Broadway | open | |
| DeFilippis Bakery | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 506 Broadway | open |
| Double Top | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 888 Resorts World Dr | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Breakfast | Route 42 N | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 144 Jefferson St | open |
| Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4450 State Route 42 | open | |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop | Coffee | Route 42 N | open |
| El Concon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 522 Broadway | open |
| El Tequilero Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 9 Forestburgh Rd | open |
| Empire Lounge | Bar | open | ||
| Fanatics Sports Bar & Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 400 Broadway | open | |
| Fialkoff's Kosher Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Halal / kosher | 250 E Broadway | open |
| Giovanni's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 4457 NY-42 | open |
| Giovanni's Two Man Sub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4061 State Route 42 | open | |
| Harvey's Wallbanger | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 555 Resorts World Dr | open | |
| HOT Dipity Donuts | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 506 Broadway | open |
| J's Soft Serve | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 366 E Broadway | open |
| Kennedy Fried Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 462 Broadway | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 4071 RT-42 | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 115 Forestburgh Rd | open |
| La Fondita Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 371 E Broadway | open |
| Latte Bistro | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 46 Forestburgh Rd | open |
| Lotus Tesco Lotus | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | Mexican · Chinese · Asian · American · Spanish / tapas · Korean | 888 Resorts World Dr | open |
| Marina & Chico' S Diner Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 34 Raceway Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4360 State Route 42 | open |
| Memitos Tacos & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 493 Broadway | open | |
| Ming Moon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 121 Broadway | open |
| Miss Monticello Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 405 Broadway | open |
| Mmc Bar & Grill, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 67 Cantrell Rd | open | |
| Monticello Bagel Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 475 Broadway | open |
| Nature's Delight | Café | Pizza · Halal / kosher · Coffee | 554 W Broadway | open |
| Nelly's Latin Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 500 Broadway | open |
| Nellys Sports Bar Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 456 Broadway | open | |
| Ns Sushi Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 343 E Broadway | open | |
| Oneg Heimishe Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Halal / kosher | open | |
| papa lukes pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 42 Kitz Rd | open |
| Paradise cuisine jamaica flavor | Quick service | Caribbean | 500 Broadway | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 352 E Broadway | open |
| Red Diamond Island Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 14 Landfield Ave | open | |
| Rita's Italian Ice Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert · Bar | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 287 E Broadway #3 | open |
| Romo Lounge | Bar | 524 Broadway | open | |
| SALT & Pepper | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 30 Mountain Mall Plz | open |
| Salt & Pepper the Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 455 Broadway | open |
| Savory Sweet Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 452 Broadway suite 3 | open |
| Siena's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 321 Broadway | open |
| Simply Sushi Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 343 E Broadway | open |
| Solaia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 3317 NY-42 | open |
| Sourdough Sally | Bakery | Bakery | S Maplewood road | open |
| Soy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 512 Broadway | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 107 Thompson Square | open |
| Starlight Bistro | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · American | 23 Marina Rd | open |
| Starters American Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 400 Broadway | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 37 Raceway Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 26 Thompson Square Plaza Unit 8 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4370 NY 42 | open |
| Tacos Sabor De Mi Rancho Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 428 Broadway | open | |
| The Burning Munch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · American | 422 Broadway | open |
| The Flame | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian · American | 287 E Broadway | open |
| Tilly's Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 34 Raceway Rd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 41 Anawana Lake Rd | open |
| Wan Bo Buffet | Buffet | Asian · Chinese | 36 Forestburgh Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 17 25 Pleasant St | open |
| X's Empanadas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 46 Forestburgh Rd | open |
| Yanni's Gyro Express Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 28 Pleasant St | open |
| Littleny, Inc. | Other · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | 418 Broadway Ste 5 | closed |
| Monticello Rest 14398 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4349 State Route 42 | closed | |
| Nature Lounge & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 436 Broadway | closed | |
| Old Homestead Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 452 Bridgeville Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 41 | 31 | — | — | — | 10 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 35 | 27 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 40 | 32 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 41 | 33 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 44 | 35 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 42 | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 40 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 39 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 45 | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 45 | 35 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 48 | 41 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 44 | 40 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 42 | 38 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 39 | 35 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 44 | 40 | 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 43 | 41 | 16 | 21 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 39 | 13 | 22 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 41 | 39 | 16 | 20 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 41 | 40 | 15 | 22 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 39 | 38 | 15 | 20 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 40 | 17 | 20 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 37 | 16 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 38 | 38 | 16 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 43 | 20 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 40 | 40 | 15 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 39 | 39 | 13 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 38 | 38 | 12 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 44 | 13 | 25 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 43 | 42 | 12 | 24 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |