BMIE Market 12754
Sullivan County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±636 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,686 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,221 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,915 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $67,624 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,592 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $223,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46,187 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 28.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12754 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 31.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -13.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +11.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 15–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 39 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 35 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12754. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 39 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 57.6 | 58 | 40% | +23.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 35.1 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 16.2 | 16 | 25% | +4.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,296 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 67,624 | 43 | 40% | +17.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,686 | 65 | 20% | +13.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 35 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -13.0 | 17 | 35% | +5.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 24.1 | 28 | 25% | +7.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,296 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 67,624 | 43 | 20% | +8.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.0 | 17 | 50% | +8.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -13.0 | 17 | 30% | +5.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -16.7 | 15 | 20% | +2.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (59)
By cuisine
American 13 · Pizza 8 · Mexican 6 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Burgers 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Greek 2 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Casual dining 9 · Quick service 9 · Bar 7 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A La Mexicana A La Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 58 S Main St | open |
| Angelina's Pizzeria & wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 187 Mill St | open |
| Bridge and Tunnel Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 50 Lake St | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 47 Sullivan Ave | open |
| Camp Toras Chaim Tashbar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 305 Revonah Hill Rd | open | |
| Casi's Family Diner And Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 79 Sullivan Ave | open |
| Catskill Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings | 39 N Main St | open |
| Chick e ribs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Hot dogs | 1706 State Route 52 | open |
| CHICK E RIBS BBQ llc Wednesday-Sunday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 1987 State Route 52 | open |
| Coreys Lickity Splits | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 20 N Main St | open |
| Danny's Steakout & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Pizza · American · Steakhouse · Sandwiches | 1869 State Route 52 | open |
| Datt, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2035 State Route 52 | open | |
| Don Gabriels | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 14 S Main St | open |
| Don Julio Sport bar & Restaurant | Bar · Casual dining | 89 Sullivan Ave | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert · Bakery | 1935 State Rte 52 | open |
| Ecua Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 31 S Main St | open |
| El Mariachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10 School St | open |
| Floyd and Bobo's Bakery and Snack Palace | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 98 N Main St #1860 | open |
| Hijos De Villa - Grocery, Meat Market, and Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 117 S Main St | open |
| Holy Grounds Coffee House | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 106 Aden Rd | open |
| Jesus en ti confio Deli Grocery Corp | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 68 N Main St | open |
| Kosher Ice Cream Truck | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 185 Carrier St | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 210 N Main St | open |
| La Chula Perros y Papitas NY | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 15 Sullivan Ave | open |
| La Mezcla Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 10 School St | open |
| Liberty Chinatown kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1943 NY-52 | open |
| Liberty Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 30 Sullivan Ave | open |
| Liberty Kosher Pizza a/k/a Liberty Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Halal / kosher | 1885 NY-52 | open |
| Liberty Pub | Bar | 21 Edgar St | open | |
| Liberty Rest 13136 Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 47 Sullivan Ave | open | |
| Little Italy Pizzeria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5 State Route 52 E Ste A | open |
| Look Sao Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 19 John St | open | |
| Main St. Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 323 N Main St | open |
| Manzi's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 10 School St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 58 Sullivan Ave | open |
| Napoli's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 6363 State Route 52 W | open |
| New Munson Diner | Casual dining | American · Greek | 12 Lake St | open |
| Oscar Brown's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Route 52 | open |
| Otto's | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2514 NY-52 | open | |
| Paesanos Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 10 S Main St | open |
| Pancho's Pizza & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 25 Sullivan Ave | open |
| Panda's Parlor | Dessert · Casual dining | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 1859 NY-52 | open |
| Papa Louie's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1987 State Route 52 Ste 8 | open | |
| Piccolo Paese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 2071 State Route 52 | open |
| Pizza Fizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 187 Mill St | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 22 Sullivan Ave | open |
| Rumu’s | Juice, smoothie, tea | Breakfast · Juice / smoothies | 65 South Main St. | open |
| Serendipity Fam | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 187 Mill St | open |
| Star Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American · Burgers | 10 School St | open |
| Stratfords At Days Inn Ltd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 52 Sullivan Ave | open | |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2035 Route 52 | open |
| Sweet Basil Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 19 John St | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 19 Sullivan Ave | open |
| Tacos y más!! El Rincón Latino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 109 S Main St | open |
| Tasty Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 64 N Main St | open | |
| The Kork and Keg Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 52 Sullivan Ave | open | |
| White Sulphur Springs Inn | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 3334 NY-52 | open |
| Yiasou Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · American | 1980 NY-52 | open |
| Cones Kosher | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 185 Carrier St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 22 | 18 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 16 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 21 | 16 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 17 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 26 | 25 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 25 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 24 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 24 | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 20 | 9 | 9 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |