BMIE Market 12839

Washington County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,541 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,981 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±329 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,588 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,899 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,423 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,326 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,053 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±91 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$173,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,017 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12839
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+15.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 17–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12839. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.2	65	40%	+26.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.3	49	35%	+17.2
Market Momentum Score	26.0	26	25%	+6.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,541	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	71,423	49	40%	+19.7
Households (ACS)	5,981	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	13,541	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	71,423	49	20%	+9.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.5	14	50%	+6.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	15.8	43	20%	+8.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

American 16 · Pizza 11 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Mexican 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Casual dining 15 · Bar 12 · Quick service 7 · Dessert 5 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adirondack Seafood Co Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	115 River St	open
Bennett & Carter Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		46 River St	open
Bonnie and Clyde's Gourmet on the Run	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	25 Feeder St	open
Brooklyn Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	54 River St	open
Cabin Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	Waite Rd	open
Caddyshack Grill at Kingswood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 County Route 41	open
Charlie B's Main Street Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	67 Main St	open
Cookie's Pizza Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	287 Main St	open
Cooley's Ice Cream	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Country Corner Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	63 John St	open
DeNatale's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	214C Main Street and Locust St	open
DiLo's	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Burgers	25 Feeder St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	209 217 Main St.	open
El gallo Mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	345 Main St	open
Empire Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	182 Main St #1	open
Falcons Brewhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		171 Main St	open
Fire Rock Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	89 County Route 41	open
Frosty Mugs Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		3116 State Route 4	open
Gavel Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	122 Main St	open
Ginny Rae's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1169 Dix Ave	open
Gus's Place	Casual dining	American	48 River St	open
Hong Kong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3736 Burgoyne Ave	open
I Love NY Pizza	Casual dining	Italian · Pizza · American	30 Main St	open
Jack & Jill Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	273 Main St	open
Jeffstead	Bar		1108 State Route 196	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1110 Dix Avenue	open
Lathams Diner	Casual dining	American	3515 Burgoyne Ave	open
Ld Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	345 Main St	open
Losaw's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	154 Main St	open
Main Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	40 Main St	open
Mandy's Pizza & Subs Mandy's Pizza and Sub Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	1229 Burgoyne Ave	open
Maui WoWii	Food truck		350 Dean Rd	open
Mcphee's Candy Shop & More	Dessert		345 Main St	open
Moss Street Deli And Country Store	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3152 US-4	open
Mullens Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	198 Main St	open
Old Homestead Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar		1116 Dix Ave	open
Paradise Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	56 Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	32 Main St	open
Sally's Hen House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3978 US-4	open
Saluto Pub	Bar		186 Main St	open
Scally's Roadside Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3116 Moss St	open
Send A Meal Today	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Pearl street, Hudson Falls , 12839, United States	open
Shawn Deli & Mart	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	523 Lower Oak St	open
Smitty’s Firehouse Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	67 Main St	open
Starky's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3515 Burgoyne Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3761 Burgoyne Avenue	open
Sullivan's Diner	Casual dining	American	25 Main St	open
The Countryside Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		287 Main St	open
The Dog Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	449 Lower Main St	open
The Heisman Court Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	122 Main St	open
The Rock Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1066 NY-196	open
The Senior Center Of The Kingsbury-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		78 Oak St	open
Twin Scoops	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
Vested Veteran Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3011 US-4	open
Wayside Inn	Casual dining · Bar		3130 US-4	open
Wet Your Whistle Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	287 Main St	open
Zack's Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	152 River St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	14	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	18	13	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	16	12	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	17	11	6	4	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	17	13	9	3	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	17	12	9	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	22	15	10	4	1	7	NAICS1997
2002	29	23	14	8	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	24	19	12	7	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	27	22	15	5	2	5	NAICS2002
2005	30	25	17	6	2	5	NAICS2002
2006	31	27	18	7	2	4	NAICS2002
2007	29	24	13	9	2	5	NAICS2002
2008	28	22	13	7	2	5	NAICS2007
2009	32	26	16	8	2	6	NAICS2007
2010	31	27	16	9	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	33	29	16	11	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	32	25	12	11	2	5	NAICS2012
2013	29	22	10	10	2	5	NAICS2012
2014	27	21	10	9	2	5	NAICS2012
2015	23	19	9	8	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	30	26	15	9	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	29	25	14	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	27	11	13	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	35	25	12	11	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	24	22	9	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	22	11	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	22	11	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	22	10	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12839. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.