BMIE Market 13027

Onondaga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±533 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,637 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,717 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,797 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,516 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,252 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$246,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,933 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13027
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+6.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 28–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13027. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.4	85	40%	+34.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.7	64	35%	+22.3
Market Momentum Score	24.9	25	25%	+6.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,088	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	91,797	75	40%	+30.0
Households (ACS)	15,184	94	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.0	72	25%	+18.1
Population (ACS)	35,088	92	20%	+18.3
Median household income (ACS)	91,797	75	20%	+15.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.6	14	50%	+6.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	6.1	38	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (83)

By cuisine

American 24 · Pizza 11 · Dessert 8 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Italian 5 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 45 · Bar 18 · Casual dining 12 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Other 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3641 Hayes Road Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3641 Hayes Rd	open
Angry Garlic	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	29 Oswego St	open
Angry Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	33 Water St	open
Anheuser-Busch Brewery	Brewery / taproom		2885 Belgium Rd	open
Atlantic Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	69 E Genesee St	open
Average Joe's Beernasium	Bar		2119 Downer St	open
B'ville Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	16 E Genesee St	open
B'Ville Pickle	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	12 W Genesee St	open
Badlands Saloon	Bar	American	29 Oswego St	open
Ban-tan Ventures Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Village Blvd N	open
Bee-Licious Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7899 Crego Rd	open
Bee’z deli & grill	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	13 E Genesee St	open
BG1	Bar	Spanish / tapas	1 W Genesee St	open
Blimpie	Quick service		2211 Downer Street Rd	open
Boy Scouts of America Northeast Region	Bar		8303 Crimson King Cir	open
Cafe Connection	Coffee shop	Coffee	45 Oswego St	open
Cam's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3610 New York 31	open
Canal Walk cafe	Café	Coffee	23 Syracuse St	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	36 E Genesee St	open
Choppedcheese Deli Baldwinsville	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies	34 E Genesee St	open
Chris' Place Syracuse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza · Italian · American	1 Village Blvd N	open
Clay Oven Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	8417 Oswego Rd	open
Clay Oven Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	8417 Oswego Rd Ste D	open
Club Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	58 Oswego St	open
Cottage Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	21 Oswego St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	80 Smokey Hollow Road	open
Dough Boy's Gourmet Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	60 Salina St	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	34 E Genesee St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2244 Downer St	open
Fireside By The River	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	2347 W Genesee Rd	open
FloJo's	Bar		9022 Plainville Rd	open
Gino & Joe's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	48 E Genesee St	open
Giovanni Food Company	Bar		8800 Sixty Rd	open
Happy Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Chinese	2265 Downer St #7	open
Hickory Hill Ice Cream Stand	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3451 NY-31	open
Home Team Pub Radisson Greens	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	8055 Potter Rd	open
Hometown Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2119 Downer Street Rd	open
Jessicakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	4 Marble St	open
Josephine's Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		48 E Genesee St	open
JP's Tavern	Bar		109 Syracuse St	open
Jreck Subs	Other	Sandwiches	39 E Genesee St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	2265 Downer St	open
Little Nero’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	29 Oswego St	open
Lock 24 Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	23 Syracuse St	open
Lock 24 Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	33 Water St	open
Maydan Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	19 E Genesee St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2234 Downer St Rd	open
McDonald's	Quick service		16 Chaucer Cir	open
Merlin's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2265 Downer Street Rd	open
Mi Ranchito	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	24 E Genesee St	open
Mohegan Manor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Sushi · Japanese · American	58 Oswego St	open
Muddy Waters	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2 Oswego St	open
NutritionFix NY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	8395 Oswego Rd	open
Olives Eatery and Shoppes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	25 Syracuse St	open
Persimmons	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3536 Timber Banks Pkwy	open
Pizza Man	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	50 Oswego St	open
Radisson Ale House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8055 Potter Rd	open
Sal's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	41 E Genesee St	open
Sammy Malone's	Bar		2 Oswego St	open
San Miguel Mexican Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	2 Oswego St	open
Shamballa Cafe and Coffee Roasters	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	7 W Genesee St	open
Strigo Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		9272 Plainville Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2244 Downer Street Rd Spc B	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	Inside Byrne Dairy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	24 E Genesee St Ste 4 Suite 4	open
Sunshine Icecream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3000 Belgium Rd	open
Sweet Dream Candy Shoppe	Dessert	Dessert	3 W Genesee St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2220 Downer St Rd	open
Tassone's Wine Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	8113 Dexter Pkwy	open
Tee Box And Greens Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8055 Potter Rd	open
The Budwiser Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Brundage Rd, Baldwinsvile, NY, Baldwinsville , 13027, United States	open
The Chefski Group Llc Dba Canal Side Cafe & Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Syracuse St	open
The Office Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	29 Oswego St	open
The Sand Wedge Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	3451 NY-31	open
The Suds Factory River Grill The Syracuse Suds Factory	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3 Syracuse St	open
The Tiki Bar	Casual dining · Bar		3642 Hayes Rd	open
Tony Mcintyre's Neighborhood pub	Bar		7748 Canton St Rd	open
Twin Trees Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	111 Syracuse St	open
Vonnie's Homestyle Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American		open
W T Brews	Brewery / taproom		3482 Patchett Rd	open
Wrap It Up Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8395 Oswego Rd	open
WT Brews - Baldwinsville	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		18 E Genesee St	open
Brick-n-barrel	Casual dining · Bar		7 Syracuse St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	28	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	30	27	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	28	24	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	29	25	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	28	22	9	13	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	32	25	14	11	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	35	27	14	12	1	5	NAICS1997
2001	33	21	10	9	2	8	NAICS1997
2002	40	29	14	13	1	10	NAICS1997
2003	41	33	15	16	2	7	NAICS2002
2004	40	34	16	16	2	5	NAICS2002
2005	41	34	17	15	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	39	31	14	13	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	37	32	16	13	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	33	28	13	13	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	32	27	13	12	2	4	NAICS2007
2010	36	30	15	12	3	4	NAICS2007
2011	42	35	16	16	3	5	NAICS2007
2012	43	35	15	16	4	7	NAICS2012
2013	43	35	15	16	4	7	NAICS2012
2014	38	34	14	15	5	4	NAICS2012
2015	41	36	17	14	5	4	NAICS2012
2016	45	40	20	15	5	4	NAICS2012
2017	45	39	19	15	5	5	NAICS2017
2018	48	43	23	16	4	3	NAICS2017
2019	48	40	20	15	5	4	NAICS2017
2020	42	34	16	14	4	5	NAICS2017
2021	41	32	14	12	6	4	NAICS2017
2022	40	33	16	12	5	3	NAICS2022
2023	44	35	19	10	6	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13027. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.