BMIE Market 13036
Oswego County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 8,616 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,607 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,680 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,723 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $83,648 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,839 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $927 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $201,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,629 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 46.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13036 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +60.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +23.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 14–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13036. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 67.9 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.2 | 55 | 35% | +19.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 61.2 | 61 | 25% | +15.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 8,616 | 69 | 40% | +27.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 83,648 | 66 | 40% | +26.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,607 | 70 | 20% | +13.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 51 | 35% | +17.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.6 | 41 | 25% | +10.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 8,616 | 69 | 20% | +13.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 83,648 | 66 | 20% | +13.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 63 | 50% | +31.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.7 | 51 | 30% | +15.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 60 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (40)
By cuisine
American 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Burgers 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 8 · Bar 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akropolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 906 US Route 11 | open |
| Arctic King | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 90 US-11 | open |
| Barado's On The Water | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 57 Bradbury Rd | open |
| Bayside Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 155 Camic Rd | open | |
| Big Bay | Bar | 155 Camic Rd | open | |
| Bobo Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 668 S Main St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3002 East Ave | open |
| Byrne Dairy and Deli Byrne Dairy | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 885 US-11 | open |
| Castaways | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 916 County Route 37 | open |
| Corner Kitchen Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2177 County Route 37 | open |
| Country Glazed | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 548 S Main St | open |
| Country Smoked | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 548 S Main St | open |
| David’s Hideaway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 68 US Route 11 | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 3041 East Ave/ Rt 49 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 3018 East Avenue | open | |
| Elevate Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 604 Main St | open |
| Good Golly's | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2916 NY-49 | open |
| Here's the Scoop | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 161 US Route 11 | open |
| Jake's Grub & Grog | Casual dining · Bar | American | 7 E River Rd | open |
| Jreck Subs JRECK Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 636 S Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3001 East Ave | open |
| Moran's Sundae Best Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3027 East Ave | open | |
| My 3 Pups Bakery and Gift Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 668 Main St | open |
| NaRin's Bakery & Takeout LLC | Bakery | Bakery · Middle Eastern | 671 S Main St | open |
| Pavone's Pizza & Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1032 County Rte 37 | open |
| Quintos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | Main Street | open |
| R Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 431 US Route 11 | open |
| Red Onion Grocery & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 20 County Rt 33 | open |
| Shanty Creek Sweets | Bakery | Bakery | 252 Shanty Creek Rd | open |
| Stagecoach Cafe | Café | Coffee | 595 S Main St | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 2949 State Route 49 | open |
| Sundae Best | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service · Dessert | Sandwiches · British / Irish pub food · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3027 East Ave | open |
| Sweet Aroma Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2870 NY-49 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3016 East Ave | open |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop | Coffee | 28 Us Route 11 | open |
| Uncle Chubby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1032 County Route 37 | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3018 East Ave | open |
| Waterfront Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6 US-11 | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | 2926 State Route 49 | open | |
| Wild Horse Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 720 County Rte 37 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 17 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |