BMIE Market 13148

Seneca County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,749 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±342 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,816 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,750 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,188 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,313 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,551 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$964 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$149,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,273 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	62.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13148
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+6.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13148. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.2	59	40%	+23.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	40.3	40	35%	+14.1
Market Momentum Score	47.6	48	25%	+11.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,749	72	40%	+28.8
Median household income (ACS)	65,313	39	40%	+15.7
Households (ACS)	4,816	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15	16	35%	+5.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.8	50	25%	+12.5
Population (ACS)	10,749	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	65,313	39	20%	+7.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.4	78	50%	+39.2
10-year restaurant growth	-15	16	30%	+4.8
20-year restaurant growth	-5.6	18	20%	+3.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 11 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Café 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
84 Fall	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	84 Fall St	open
Ace Coffee & Water Service	Coffee shop	Coffee	1771 US Route 20	open
Avicolli's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	170 Fall St	open
Bee's Cafe	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	107 Fall St	open
Bee's Cookies & Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	107 Fall St	open
Burger King	Quick service			open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2013 Route 5, & 20 Road	open
Cafe 19 Café 19	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	20 E Bayard St	open
Cayuga Sugar Shack	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Dewey's 3rd Ward Tavern	Bar	British / Irish pub food	39 Bridge St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2109 Routes 5 And 20	open
Downtown Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		53 Fall St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2014 Route 5 And 20	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2100 Us Route 20	open
El Bajio Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	74 Fall St	open
Eleven Lakes Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3550 State Route 89	open
Fall Street Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Café	Coffee · Pizza	97 Fall St	open
Falls Donuts, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2014 US Route 20	open
Fleur De Lis Brew Works	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3630 NY-414	open
It's A Wonderful Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	50 E Bayard St	open
It's a Wonderful Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	77 Fall St	open
Lin's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	71 Fall St	open
Little Italy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	118 Fall St	open
Little Italy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2109 Us Route 20 Ste K	open
Love's Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	59 State St	open
Manhill Food Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1771 Route 20	open
Max's Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	67 1/2 Auburn Rd	open
McDonald Farm	Quick service		1236 Gravel Rd	open
Meno è Meglio Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Inside Parker's on Fall, 86 Fall St	open
Montezuma Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		2981 US Route 20	open
Montezuma Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Mushroom Spirits Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		4055 State Route 89	open
Papa’s Chicken House	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern		open
Parker's on Fall	Casual dining · Bar		86 Fall St	open
Penny's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Liberty Plaza, 20	open
Perfect Pair Hospitality	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	64 W Bayard St	open
Prime Business Surplus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1771 Auburn Rd	open
Red Brick Pub	Bar · Casual dining		57 Fall St	open
Riptide Coastal BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	106 Fall St	open
Rudy's Tap & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	6 Ovid St	open
Sackett's Table Restaurant & Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	23 Bridge St	open
Sugar Mama's Cookies & Confections	Restaurant (service type not stated)		41-43 Fall St	open
The Quarters Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		35 Water St	open
The Sequestered Tavern	Bar		6-8 Ovid St	open
VFW	Bar		47 Fall St	open
Wolffy's Grill & Marina	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2943 Lower Lake Rd	open
Wolffy's Grill & Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2493 Lower Lake Rd	open
Woody’s Bar and Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2468 County Road 124	open
Wt Brews	Brewery / taproom		6 Ovid St	open
Zuzu Cafe	Café	Coffee	107 Fall St	open
Jeremy's Cafe	Café	Coffee	77 Fall St Ste A	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	16	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	26	22	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	21	18	8	8	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	20	16	7	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	18	15	6	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	19	14	7	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	20	17	9	5	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	22	18	9	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	25	22	13	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	26	22	12	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	22	18	8	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	21	18	8	5	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	23	20	10	6	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	19	15	8	4	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	19	15	6	6	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	17	8	6	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	21	17	8	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	24	20	9	5	6	2	NAICS2012
2014	20	16	8	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	20	17	9	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	19	16	8	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	19	15	8	4	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	8	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	20	16	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	8	6	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	21	17	10	5	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13148. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13034	4.3 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.