BMIE Market 13157

Oneida County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	529 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±187 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	695 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	754 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$45,481 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	60.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$162,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49,331 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13157
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	172.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	21 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	19 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	19 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13157. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	18.7	19	40%	+7.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	19.3	19	35%	+6.7
Market Momentum Score	25.4	25	25%	+6.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	529	22	40%	+8.8
Median household income (ACS)	45,481	10	40%	+4.0
Households (ACS)	321	29	20%	+5.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	170.1	2	25%	+0.6
Population (ACS)	529	22	20%	+4.4
Median household income (ACS)	45,481	10	20%	+2.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abby Dabby's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1104 Main St	open
Canal View Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Italian · American	9 Canal St	open
Captain John's Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1424 Main St	open
Chop and Grind, llc.	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		412 Main St	open
Cinco de mayo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	412 Main St	open
Eddie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	901 Main St	open
Flashback cafe	Café	Coffee · Mexican · Italian	516 Main St	open
Harpoon Eddie's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		611 Park Ave	open
Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	516 Main St	open
Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	404 Main St	open
Pizza King/ Drunken King	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	404 Main St	open
Rickys Island Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Caribbean	1208 Main St	open
Shorebreak Bakery Cafe	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1004 Main St	open
Sunset Grill Sunset Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1319 Main St	open
The Blend at the Beach	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1129 Main St	open
The Lake House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		301 Park Ave	open
Whats the Scoop Ice Cream Cafe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	604 Main St	open
Willie's Chop Shop	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood · BBQ · Burgers · American	412 Main St.	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	10	7	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	7	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	7	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	9	7	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	7	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	7	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	7	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	10	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	10	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	10	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	10	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	11	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	8	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	9	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	8	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	7	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	7	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	8	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	8	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13157. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13162	1.2 mi	3	2023
13123	2.3 mi	1	1998
13054	3.7 mi	1	2004
13308	4.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.