BMIE Market 13166

Cayuga County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,622 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,610 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,354 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,108 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,063 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,104 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$160,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,557 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	40.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 13166
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-27.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	13 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 13166. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.5	61	40%	+24.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.5	41	35%	+14.5
Market Momentum Score	12.6	13	25%	+3.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,622	62	40%	+24.9
Median household income (ACS)	78,108	60	40%	+23.8
Households (ACS)	2,366	64	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.2	56	25%	+13.9
Population (ACS)	5,622	62	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	78,108	60	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 13 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	-11.1	17	20%	+3.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 5 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 3 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2767 State Route 31	open
CJ'S Pub & Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining	American	8902 S Seneca St	open
Cook's Village Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8991 N Seneca St	open
Craze nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	8914 N Seneca St	open
D B's Drive In	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	8951 N Seneca St	open
Devaney's Riverside Grill Inc	Casual dining · Bar		9347 Stickle Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	9032 N Seneca St	open
Empire Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza	9036 N Seneca St	open
Lin Bo Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chinese	8932 N Seneca St	open
Lunkenheimer Craft Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8931 N Seneca St	open
MuzziÂ´s DÂ´Italian Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
Nino's NY Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8889 S Seneca St	open
Old Erie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8924 N Seneca St	open
Peter's Weedsport Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8915 N Seneca St	open
Talk of the Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2667 Erie Dr	open
The Modern Mom Baker Micro Bakery and Farm Stand	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	8499 Jericho Rd	open
The Seneca Riverside Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		9345 Stickle Rd	open
Weedsport Subs JRECK Subs	Specialty food shop · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Fast casual	Dessert · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	2700 E Brutus St	open
White Rabbit Roasting Co	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8905 S Seneca St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	11	5	4	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	6	3	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 13166. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
13080	4.2 mi	1	2016
13140	4.5 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.